Tag: polls

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Hillary Clinton Surges To 12 Point Lead In ABC News National Poll

ABC News reports that Democrat Hillary Clinton has surged to a 12 point lead over Republican Donald Trump in the network’s 2016 election tracking poll.

Likely voters by a vast 69-24 percent disapprove of Trump’s response to questions about his treatment of women. After a series of allegations of past sexual misconduct, the poll finds that some women who’d initially given him the benefit of the doubt have since moved away.

See PDF with full results, charts and tables here.

Fifty-nine percent of likely voters, moreover, reject Trump’s suggestion that the election is rigged in Clinton’s favor, and more, 65 percent, disapprove of his refusal to say whether he’d accept a Clinton victory as legitimate. Most strongly disapprove, a relatively rare result.

All told, Clinton leads Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters, 50 to 38 percent, in the national survey, her highest support and his lowest to date in ABC News and ABC News/Washington Post polls. Gary Johnson has 5 percent support, Jill Stein 2 percent.

Also from the survey results:

• Clinton leads among female voters by 20 points: 55% vs 35%

• Trump lead among white voters has shrunk to only 4 points: 47% vs 43% (Romney won white voters by 20 points in 2012)

• The number of likely Republican voters has dropped by 7 points in recent weeks

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CBS News Poll: Likely Voters Say HIllary Clinton Tops Trump In Final Debate 49% – 39%

Democrat Hillary Clinton was deemed the winner of the third and final presidential debate last night according to viewers in 13 battleground states.

From The Hill:

Almost half, 49 percent, in the CBS News Battleground Tracker poll released Thursday morning said the Democratic nominee won the debate Wednesday night, compared to 39 percent who said Republican Donald Trump was the winner.

Twelve percent called it a tie.

Trump during the debate would not say if he would accept the results of the election, which he has called “rigged.”

The CBS News poll found Trump supporters split on that issue heading into the debate: 33 percent said candidates should accept election results, 36 percent said they should not agree to such a pledge, and another third had no opinion.

Nearly all Clinton supporters said candidates should accept election results.

CBS News interviewed 934 likely voters who watched the debate in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. The new poll has a margin of error of 3.8 percentage points.

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Hillary Clinton Surges To 7 Point Lead In Nevada

My state! My state! My state!

After trailing Donald Trump by 2 points last month, the latest Monmouth University poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has surged to a 7 point lead in the vital swing state of Nevada.

Among Nevada voters likely to participate in November’s presidential election, 47% currently support Clinton and 40% back Trump. Another 7% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% say they will choose Nevada’s unique “none of these candidates” ballot option. Monmouth’s September poll had Trump at 44% and Clinton at 42%. This order was reversed in July with Clinton at 45% and Trump at 41%.

The rise in Clinton’s support over the past month is due mainly to two groups that normally lean Democratic – non-white voters and younger voters. Clinton has expanded her lead among non-white voters, now at 67% to 18% compared with 63% to 28% in September. She has also pulled ahead among voters under the age of 50 – now leading Trump by 55% to 28% compared with a virtual tie (41% Clinton to 40% Trump) last month.

Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto remains 3 points (42% vs 45%) behind Congressman Joe Heck in the race to replace retiring Sen. Harry Reid.

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New Poll: Hillary Clinton Moves Into 11 Point Lead Over Donald Trump

According to the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted entirely after the second presidential debate, Democrat Hillary Clinton has widen her lead over Republican Donald Trump to 11 points.

The same poll taken last week directly before and after the 2nd presidential debate showed Clinton leading by 9 points.

From NBC News:

In a four-way race, Democrat Clinton holds an 11-point lead over Republican Trump among likely voters, 48 percent to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 2 percent.

In a two-way contest without Johnson and Stein, Clinton is ahead by 10 points, 51 percent to 41 percent.

To put Clinton’s current 11-point lead into perspective, Barack Obama beat John McCain by seven points nationally in 2008. And Obama’s margin of victory over Mitt Romney in 2012 was four points.

Looking inside the numbers of the two-way horse race, Clinton holds a 20-point lead among female voters (55 percent to 35 percent), while Trump is ahead among men by just three points (48 percent to 45 percent).

Finally, the NBC/WSJ poll finds President Obama’s job-approval rating at 53 percent among registered voters, which is up one point from last month.

It’s the six-straight month where the president’s rating has been above 50 percent in the poll, and it’s his highest rating since Dec. 2012, after he won re-election four years ago.

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Nevada: Dem Cortez Masto 40%-35% Over Republican Heck In U.S. Senate Race

The latest poll in Nevada’s all-important U.S. Senate race, conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling this week, show’s Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto with a five point lead over Republican Rep. Joe Heck.

The race will decide who fills the U.S. Senate seat left open after longtime Democratic Senator Harry Reid retires.

The results show Cortez Masto getting 40% support of respondents, while Heck received 35%.

Sixteen percent of those surveyed identified as “Undecided.”

Of those “Undecideds,” 41% say they lean in Cortez Masto’s direction, 36% say Heck.

(via News 8 Now)

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Reuters Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump By 8 Points

The latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll has good news for Democrat Hillary Clinton showing she now leads Republican Donald Trump by 8 points.

The survey also indicates that 1 in 5 Republicans feel his vulgar comments about groping women disqualify him from the presidency.

The poll was taken after the 2nd presidential debate Sunday night where Trump faced questions regarding his recorded statements in 2005 that he liked to grab women by their genitals.

Via Reuters:

The poll released on Tuesday showed Clinton, the Democratic nominee, had increased her lead over Trump, the Republican nominee, to 8 percentage points on Monday from 5 points last week.

When asked to pick between the two major-party candidates, 45 percent of likely voters said they supported Clinton while 37 percent supported Trump. Another 18 percent said they would not support either candidate.

Trump was under pressure during Sunday’s debate to restore confidence in his struggling campaign after dozens of lawmakers repudiated him over the weekend. He hammered Clinton’s handling of classified information while serving as secretary of state and referred to her as “the devil.” At one point, he said he would jail Clinton if he were president.

Among those who said they watched at least portions of the debate, 53 percent said Clinton won while 32 percent said Trump won. The results fell along partisan lines, however: 82 percent of Democrats felt Clinton won, while 68 percent of Republicans felt that Trump won.

Among likely voters who watched the debate, 48 percent said they supported Clinton while 38 percent supported Trump.

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New Polling In Ohio Shows Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump +9

A new poll from the Baldwin Wallace Community Research Institute shows Hillary Clinton has pulled out to a 9 point lead over billionaire Donald Trump in the vital swing state of Ohio.

Via Cleveland.com:

Democrat Hillary Clinton has a 9-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in Ohio following the news of Trump’s vulgar talk about women and after the second debate between the candidates, according to a statewide poll released today by Baldwin Wallace University in Berea.

Clinton leads Trump, 48 percent to 38 percent, with 14 percent unsure, in a direct match-up, the poll found. When the two minority party candidates are added to the mix – as they are on state ballots — Clinton leads by 9 percent, 43 percent to 34 percent.

It’s notable that the survey included 1,152 likely voters. That’s a substantial number for a state-wide poll.

Plus, this was taken after the second debate through to Tuesday evening. So the debate and Trump’s “PussyGate” video are baked into these results.

The survey also showed that 63% of Trump voters are primarily casting a vote against Clinton, not for him.

Among Clinton supporters only 47% say they are casting a vote against Trump.

Among Independent voters, 46% say they are voting Clinton; 35% say they plan to vote Trump.

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Updated NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll Shows Clinton Leads Trump By +9

The folks conducting polls for NBC News/Wall Street Journal went back to 400 of those respondents they surveyed after the 2nd presidential debate Sunday night and asked if the debate changed any of their support for either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

The follow-up showed revises the original results to indicate that Clinton has a 9 point lead over Trump in a four way contest. Clinton garners the support of 46 percent of likely voters, while Trump has 37 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson has eight percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein has two percent.

In a two-man race, Clinton beats Trump by 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent.

Among the 400 “after debate” respondents, the race tightened to a 7 point lead for Clinton. That “gain” is relative to the sex tape fallout.

It should be noted that 400 in a national poll is a small sampling. And, it goes without saying, a 7 point lead less than 30 days out from the election is significant.

More from NBC News:

The new data incorporate interviews that were conducted after Sunday night’s debate. Poll data released by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal on Monday, which only included interviews conducted before the debate, showed Clinton with a 11 point lead in a four-way contest and a 14-point lead in a head-to-head matchup.

Among only those respondents contacted after the debate, Clinton’s lead shrank to a seven point advantage in both a four-way matchup and in a head-to-head race — reflecting the same margin that Clinton showed in a mid-September NBC/WSJ poll.

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ANOTHER Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Leading Donald Trump +11

From The Hill:

Hillary Clinton has an 11-point lead over Donald Trump, according to a PRRI/The Atlantic poll released Tuesday.

Clinton is now favored by 49 percent of likely voters and Trump is backed by 38 percent.

The poll shows Clinton increasing her lead over the Republican nominee. A poll conducted two weeks ago showed both major party’s nominees tied among likely voters at 43 percent.

The new poll finds Clinton has a commanding lead, 61 to 28 percent. over Trump among women. But Trump holds a lead among men, 48 to 37 percent. Trump also leads among white voters, 45 to 41 percent, while Clinton leads among non-white voters, 72 to 17 percent.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that came out Monday also showed the Democratic nominee with an 11-point lead over Trump.