Nevada: Democrats Lead By 30K+ In Early Voting

Nevada Democrats continue to lead by a healthy margin, over 30K,  at the polls after the first week of early voting.

Nevada early voting totals to date through Friday, October 28, 2016, via the Nevada Secretary of State website:

In-person early voting – Democrats – 150,014
In-person early voting – Republicans – 119,368 (-30,646)
In-person early voting – Other – 65,916

Absent / Mail-in ballots – Democrats – 16,840
Absent / Mail-in ballots – Republicans – 18,978 (+2,138)
Absent / Mail0in ballots – Other – 8,598

Total Democrats – 166,854
Total Republicans – 138,346 (-28,508)
Total Other – 74,514

Nevada: Democrats Have 24K Lead After 4 Days Of Early Voting

After four days of early voting in Nevada, the Secretary of State website shows Democrats opening a wide lead in voting.

When you combine in-person voting with returned mail-in ballots, the Democrats come in with 104,305 statewide.

The Republicans are down by 24,585 ballots with 79,720 registered GOPers getting their votes in so far.

Nevada: Democrats Continue Big Lead In Early Voting Turnout

After three days of early voting in Nevada, the Dems continue to outpace Republicans at the polls.

The Nevada Secretary of State’s website shows 69,246 Democrats have voted in person so far (48.93%) versus 45,990 Republicans (32.5%).

The mail-in ballots total 29,309 so far with Republicans casting 12,445 versus the Dems’ 11,100.

Of course, the lion’s share of votes come from Clark County where almost 75% of Nevadans live, and  a big majority are Democrats.

It’s notable that this marked the third straight day of 30,000+ voters in Clark County. Yesterday’s total in Clark County was 34,603. For comparison, in 2012 the third day total was 30,598. 

All told that’s 80,346 ballots from the Dems and 58,435 for the Republicans. A difference of almost 22,000.

As noted earlier, we don’t know how those folks voted, but history shows the vast majority of voters cast their ballot for their registered party.

Donald Trump and his followers can point to turn-out for his rallies, but the true “enthusiasm” shows up at the ballot box.  Just saying…

Democrats See High Numbers In Nevada Early Voting

The first weekend of early voting ended in Nevada as a blowout for the Democrats.

Of the 57,331 votes cast this weekend, 30,062 ballots (52.44%) were cast by Dems while only 17,121 votes (29.86%) by Republicans.

That’s almost a 13,000 vote lead for Democrats. While we don’t know exactly who folks voted for, most registered voters do vote their party. So, take these numbers as you may.

First Day Of Early Voting Goes Gangbusters For Dems

Click image to enlarge

Early voting got off to a bang in Nevada as Democratic party voters far outweighed Republicans.

The Nevada Secretary of State website shows that, at the end of the first day of early voting, 37,309 Democrats showed up while Republicans lagged with only 15,313 at the polls. That would be 52.79% versus 29.6% respectively.

The website only reports the party affiliation of those who show up to vote, so it’s not a perfect indicator of how many votes Clinton or Trump received. But since most folks vote their party, it’s fair to assume it was a good day for the former secretary of state in Nevada.

#ImWithHer

#Forward

Early Voting Starts In Nevada

And…, DONE!

Now you KNOW I’m gonna get my vote on the very first day, the very first hour of early voting here in Las Vegas.

Long lines showing up all over the city (you can even vote at your grocery store!), but my polling place was moving along quite smoothly.

No shenanigans, no ugliness – just good, clean electoral processes happening on a gorgeous Nevada day.

Early voting accounts for nearly 50% of the vote in Nevada in presidential election years. And in those cycles with the presidency on the ballot, around 80% of registered voters show up to make their voices heard – 81% in 2012, 80% in 2008 and 79.9% in 2004.

If you need info about where to vote in Las Vegas, click here.

Now go vote, and if you’ve already voted come see me today at Las Vegas PRIDE in Sunset Park. I’ll be hosting the mainstage from 5-7PM!

Looks like a long line but it moved quickly

Hillary Clinton Surges To 7 Point Lead In Nevada

My state! My state! My state!

After trailing Donald Trump by 2 points last month, the latest Monmouth University poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has surged to a 7 point lead in the vital swing state of Nevada.

Among Nevada voters likely to participate in November’s presidential election, 47% currently support Clinton and 40% back Trump. Another 7% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% say they will choose Nevada’s unique “none of these candidates” ballot option. Monmouth’s September poll had Trump at 44% and Clinton at 42%. This order was reversed in July with Clinton at 45% and Trump at 41%.

The rise in Clinton’s support over the past month is due mainly to two groups that normally lean Democratic – non-white voters and younger voters. Clinton has expanded her lead among non-white voters, now at 67% to 18% compared with 63% to 28% in September. She has also pulled ahead among voters under the age of 50 – now leading Trump by 55% to 28% compared with a virtual tie (41% Clinton to 40% Trump) last month.

Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto remains 3 points (42% vs 45%) behind Congressman Joe Heck in the race to replace retiring Sen. Harry Reid.

Nevada: Dem Cortez Masto 40%-35% Over Republican Heck In U.S. Senate Race

The latest poll in Nevada’s all-important U.S. Senate race, conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling this week, show’s Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto with a five point lead over Republican Rep. Joe Heck.

The race will decide who fills the U.S. Senate seat left open after longtime Democratic Senator Harry Reid retires.

The results show Cortez Masto getting 40% support of respondents, while Heck received 35%.

Sixteen percent of those surveyed identified as “Undecided.”

Of those “Undecideds,” 41% say they lean in Cortez Masto’s direction, 36% say Heck.

(via News 8 Now)

Nevada: Hillary Leads Donald By +6, Heck Hold 3 Point Edge On Cortez Masto For U.S. Senate Seat

According to the latest polling from Public Opinion Strategies, Democrat Hillary Clinton is leading Republican Donald Trump in Nevada by a 6 point margin (45%-39%).

In the U.S. Senate race to replace retiring Democratic Senator Harry Reid, GOP Congressman Joe Heck leads Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto 47%-44%.

Nevada’s Jon Ralston Shares – “The Child I Love”

Nevada’s top political reporter, Jon Ralston, shared with the world tonight the journey he and his transgender son, Jake, have taken as a family.

I should preface this by pointing out that Jon Ralston is a tough political reporter. There’s no holds barred when it comes to his reporting. But behind every tough persona lies a human heart. Ralston is no different.

I’d love to just copy and paste Jon’s full post, but I think it’s fair you head over to Ralston Reports to read his beautifully written essay on what is obviously a powerfully personal trek to “here.”

Here is just a few excerpts:

When Maddy Ralston came into this world almost 21 years ago, it was love at first sight.

I cradled her in my arms, my adopted miracle, and couldn’t stop crying. She was the most beautiful thing I had ever seen.

As she grew up, Maddy eschewed the traditional girly girl stuff. “If you get me a doll for Christmas, I’ll cut its head off,” she once admonished me.

She refused to wear the skirts in the school uniform catalogue, preferring the khaki pants. She became a full-fledged tomboy before high school. She was a stunning, blonde-blue-eyed kid, but she didn’t care. She would rather go sit for hours and fish at Sunset Park than go to the mall with other girls. She told me she wanted to be a boy.

[snip]

Maddy never really talked about what the truth was until junior year. But somehow she had known since she was five, when she eschewed dolls and dresses.

I don’t think I even listened very well when Maddy told me a few years ago she was really a male inside, that she was transgender. Sure, you are, I thought. It’s just a phase, I was certain.

After all, the kid has been through a lot. Her mother had died. She had to switch schools. She had no idea who she was.

But the truth was I had no idea. Or I was in denial.

Slowly but surely, I have come to not just accept it but to embrace it. I have learned a lot about transgender issues through my job. I have read a bit.

[snip]

I admit I sometimes still have a hard time with it all. I look around the house, see the pictures of me with my little girl and my eyes fill with tears. But those memories are forever, and Maddy told me not to take them down, that she cherishes those, too.

Last year, Maddy began talking about transitioning, about having surgery. And about six months ago, Maddy began taking testosterone to begin the process of becoming who she really is.

This week, Maddy went to court, bravely told a judge why she wanted to be a male and wanted her birth certificate changed, too. After the hearing, when it was finally real, when he called me, I don’t think I have ever heard my kid sound so happy. And he wanted the story told.

When I get home later this week, I will see someone officially named Jake Ralston for the first time. And one thing I know for certain: It will be love at first sight.

I want to be clear about my intentions on posting this. Jon Ralston has dealt with this family issue for a long time now. And, in sharing his son’s story, he’s helping countless families who find themselves in a similar circumstance.

I personally have friends who have found themselves unexpectedly learning about “life as transgender” from their children. This is real.

I celebrate Jon and Jake’s openness to sharing their story.

I congratulate Jake on his living life as the person he knows he is.

And send huge kudos to Jon for being the father any son would love to have.

UPDATE: The Washington Post’s Travis Andrews interviewed both Jon and Jake Ralston after Jon’s post went viral. Read more about Jake’s journey here.