The Trump Shutdown is having a negative effect on Donald Trump’s approval ratings
The conservative-leaning Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Donald Trump’s favorite, as a matter of fact) for Monday shows the Trumpster at his lowest approval rating in the poll in nearly a year.
From the poll:
• Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 43% versus 55% who disapprove of the job he is doing
• Among those who feel ‘strongly’ about their opinion, 32% ‘strongly approve’ of the job Trump is doing, 46% ‘strongly disapprove’ of his performance
The president’s overall job approval rating has been dropping since his primetime address from the Oval Office last week demanding funds to build his beloved wall.
Donald Trump’s approval rating took a quick 4-point drop according to the Gallup tracking poll.
Not sure whether it was the Trumpster’s woeful handling of the MAGAbomber where he bemoaned the ‘bomb stuff’ slowed down GOP voting, or if it was his tweeting about the World Series just hours after a mad Neo-Nazi interrupted a religious ceremony at a Pittsburgh synagogue and killed 11 people.
The last time Trump’s numbers dropped so sharply was this summer as border patrol officers were removing small children from their parents.
The latest results of Gallup’s data shows his approval rating has dropped to 40% while his unfavorable number has climbed up to 54%.
The latest data from Morning Consult is a bit more upbeat for Trump but not by much.
Based on 130,486 interviews of registered voters across each state and Washington, D.C., from August 1, 2018, to August 31, 2018, Trump’s national approval rating drops slightly in August.
President Trump’s net approval rating was 11 points underwater in August, with 42% approval and 53% disapproval. Trump’s approval has dropped 3 percentage points since July.
Only 36% of respondents approve of the job Trump is doing as president.
Slightly more Americans disapprove of how Trump is handling the economy: 47% disapprove, 45% approve.
Although Trump promised to ‘drain the swamp,’ 45% of Americans feel corruption in DC has increased; only 13% feel corruption has decreased; 39% believe its remained the same.
A solid majority (63%) support the investigation by Special Counsel Robert Mueller; only 29% oppose.
More than half (53%) believe Trump somehow participated in obstructing Mueller’s investigation; 35% don’t believe he did.
When it comes to former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort, a decisive 67% believe the charges and guilty verdicts were justified; only 17% disagree.
And similar numbers come into play when asked about a possible pardon for Manfort – 66% oppose a pardon for the convicted felon, 18% support a pardon.
And, almost half of Americans (49%) feel Congress should begin impeachment proceedings; 46% oppose the idea.
Well, not all of them. He loves the folks at Rasmussen polling because they consistently show him with a higher approval rating than other polling firms. Higher to the tune of an average of 5 points.
Today, the Trumpster took to Twitter to boast of his 50% approval rating:
Rasmussen just came out at 51% Approval despite the Fake News Media. They were one of the three most accurate on Election Day. Just about the most inaccurate were CNN and ABC News/Washington Post, and they haven’t changed (get new pollsters). Much of the media is a Scam!
But it’s important to note that there are reasons why Rasmussen shows a higher Trump approval result.
According to The Washington Post, Rasmussen’s methodology involves only polling likely voters instead of registered voters. That one aspect contributes to a “right lean” of the results since, generally speaking, Republicans tend to be more likely to vote than Democrats.
Also, Rasmussen only polls via landlines. In the past ten years, a lot of younger people have switched to life with only a cell phone. So, those folks never get contacted by Rasmussen.
Younger people tend to be more liberal and older tend to be more conservative. The math isn’t hard here.
Looking at that “right lean” effect, as The Washington Post notes, during Obama’s administration Rasmussen averaged 3.9 points below other polling organizations in terms of approval numbers. And, during Trump’s time in office they have averaged 4.9 points higher than others.
If you want to get a better sense of where Trump’s true approval numbers are, it makes sense to look at the Real Clear Politics average of polls tracking Trump’s approval rating:
Click image to enlarge
As you can see, Rasmussen is by far the highest rating Trump gets among polls. But the average shows him at 42.1% approval which right in the range he’s been since taking office.
But knock yourself out, Donnie. If you wanna happy dance around your one decent poll, go for it.
This Washington Post article is insightful to understand how some polling firms differ in how they measure approval ratings.
Donald Trump may have thought his “yuuuuge tax cuts” legislation would make it popular, but he’s actually dropped in terms of job approval according to Morning Consult to the lowest point of his presidency.
The latest Morning Consult poll, surveying over 97,000 Americans across all 50 states, puts his approval at just 41%.
The new data — compiled from surveys conducted March 1 to March 31 among 97,693 registered voters in every state and Washington, D.C. — shows 41 percent of registered voters approving and 54 percent disapproving of Trump’s job performance, surpassing previous monthly lows from October and November, when 42 percent approved and 53 percent took the opposing view.
This marks a 4-point net decline from February (43% approval, 52% disapproval), and surpasses his previous monthly lows from October and November when 42% approved and 53% disapproved.
The changes were driven mainly by a loss of enthusiasm among the president’s independent and Republican supporters: Strong approval for Trump was down 2 points among GOP voters, to 45 percent, and 1 point among independents, to 13 percent.
Trump remains underwater in crucial battleground states: President Trump also saw his approval marks decline in key Senate battleground states in March. Here’s where Trump stands in key battleground states:
• Ohio: (46% approve, 50% disapprove) (-5 percentage point change since February) • Montana: (50% approve, 46% disapprove) (-5 net change) • Arizona: (48% approve, 49% disapprove) (-4 net change)
Click here for more info including an interactive map of the U.S. where you can see Trump’s approval changes over time since his inauguration.
These are all facts anyone can look up. Which, from the looks of Twitter, is what everyone did:
Rasmussen and others have my approval ratings at around 50%, which is higher than Obama, and yet the political pundits love saying my approval ratings are “somewhat low.” They know they are lying when they say it. Turn off the show – FAKE NEWS!
No, Rasmussen says 44%. That’s six points lower than 50, and since it’s a Republican-leaning poll, it’s your best number. In other words, there are exactly ZERO polls close to 50. Do you understand what ZERO means?https://t.co/nYA3ONX43Fhttps://t.co/dNy5A5LBdS
BTW, Rasmussen has Trump’s approval rating at 44%, which is not “around 50%” (it’s also exactly what Obama’s was on this day in his presidency, but Obama had a lower strong disapproval) https://t.co/J9pLhJCGlf
Donald Trump, the president with the lowest approval ratings in history, took a swipe at Hollywood by pointing out the Academy Awards’ low TV ratings with a tweet that read, “Lowest rated Oscars in HISTORY. Problem is, we don’t have Stars anymore – except your President.”
The Trumpster added a quick “just kidding, of course,” but I’m not so sure he was kidding…
Lowest rated Oscars in HISTORY. Problem is, we don’t have Stars anymore – except your President (just kidding, of course)!
Translation: “I know more about the details of TV ratings than I do about global trade, taxes, healthcare, and foreign policy.” https://t.co/us27Je8b1Z
