Momentum may have shifted in California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s direction in the upcoming recall election on September 14 as a new poll shows a large majority of likely voters oppose ousting Newsom.
— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) September 10, 2021
From the Los Angeles Times:
According to a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll cosponsored by the Los Angeles Times released Friday, 60.1% of likely voters surveyed oppose recalling Newsom compared with 38.5% in favor of ousting the governor.
The findings, which were gathered by pollsters between Aug. 30 and Sept. 6, align with results from a batch of recent independent polls, all of which showed a decisive advantage for Newsom as the Sept. 14 recall election approaches.
Political viewers say a couple of things happened over the past month.
One, conservative radio host Larry Elder emerged as the Republican front-runner. That gave Newsom an opponent to focus on.
Two, Vice President Kamala Harris – former California Attorney General and U.S. Senator – has visited to campaign with Newsom recently. Plus, TV ads featuring former President Obama are up and have been running for a while now.
Listen to @BarackObama — California has a big choice to make on September 14th.
Your vote could be the difference.
Vote NO on the Republican Recall.
There’s too much on the line to sit this one out. pic.twitter.com/U3cKDcRaVY
— Gavin Newsom (@GavinNewsom) September 8, 2021
So far, 56% of mail-in ballots received by the state are from registered Democrats, and about a quarter are from registered Republicans.
As I always mention in regard to polling – take any of this with a grain of salt. And if you live in California, make sure you vote.
Gov. Newsom looks like he has moved ahead in defeating the recall. And in looking at the data the only group solidly voting for the recall are white, unvaccinated Trump supporters. Pretty much tells you everything. Vote No on recall. Vote for science and the common good.
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) September 9, 2021