Poll: Momentum Shifts In CA Recall Election

Momentum may have shifted in California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s direction in the upcoming recall election on September 14 as a new poll shows a large majority of likely voters oppose ousting Newsom.

From the Los Angeles Times:

According to a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll cosponsored by the Los Angeles Times released Friday, 60.1% of likely voters surveyed oppose recalling Newsom compared with 38.5% in favor of ousting the governor.

The findings, which were gathered by pollsters between Aug. 30 and Sept. 6, align with results from a batch of recent independent polls, all of which showed a decisive advantage for Newsom as the Sept. 14 recall election approaches.

Political viewers say a couple of things happened over the past month.

One, conservative radio host Larry Elder emerged as the Republican front-runner. That gave Newsom an opponent to focus on.

Two, Vice President Kamala Harris – former California Attorney General and U.S. Senator – has visited to campaign with Newsom recently. Plus, TV ads featuring former President Obama are up and have been running for a while now.

So far, 56% of mail-in ballots received by the state are from registered Democrats, and about a quarter are from registered Republicans.

As I always mention in regard to polling – take any of this with a grain of salt. And if you live in California, make sure you vote.