Tag: polls

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New CNN/ORC Poll Shows Trump And Sanders With Solid Leads Before Iowa Caucus

According to a new CNN/ORC poll Republican Donald Trump and Democratic Socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders have opened up solid leads in the Iowa race up to the February 1st caucus’s.

• Trump leads Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, who is in second place in the GOP race, among likely Republican caucus-goers, 37% to 26%. Sen. Marco Rubio comes in a distant 3rd at 14%. All others are in single digits.

• Sanders, meanwhile, has opened up an eight-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, leading her in Iowa 51% to 43%

There is an interesting aspect to the poll results, however. When only counting respondents who previously caucused in their party’s most recent competitive caucus, the numbers change up quite a bit.

• Cruz pulls past Trump, with 30% for Cruz to 28% for Trump. Rubio stays somewhat unchanged at 16% in that sample.

• Looking at Democrats who caucused in 2008, Clinton moves into the lead over Sanders, with Clinton 55% to Sanders 38%.

What this would mean to me is a lot of folks who are not regular caucus-goers make the difference for Trump and Sanders. Those two are inspiring energy – BUT – will they actually show up on a cold February night to support their choice when it’s not a habit for them?

We shall see in just 11 days.

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New Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Democratic Race By 25 Points

According to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton leads rival Bernie Sanders by 25 points nationally ahead of Sunday’s final Democratic debate.

Clinton currently has the support of 59 percent of Democratic primary voters, while Sanders gets 34 percent. Martin O’Malley gets 2 percent.

With the Iowa caucus’s just around the corner, Clinton leads Sanders in recent polling by an average of 4 points, according to RealClearPolitics.

The Democratic debate will air tonight on NBC at 9:00 pm ET.

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New Poll Shows Tight Races In Iowa & New Hampshire

According to the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll, the races for presidential hopefuls in Iowa and New Hampshire are getting tighter.

The poll addressed both Likely and Potential voters

Among likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa:
Sen. Ted Cruz 28%
Donald Trump 24%
Sen. Marco Rubio 13%
Ben Carson 11%
The rest, who cares…

Among potential Republican caucus-goers in Iowa (larger group of possible voters):
Donald Trump 26%
Sen. Ted Cruz 24%
Sen. Marco Rubio 13%
Ben Carson 11%

Among likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa:
Hillary Clinton 48%
Sen. Bernie Sanders 45%
Martin O’Malley 5%

Among potential Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa:
Hillary Clinton 49%
Sen. Bernie Sanders 43%
Martin O’Malley 4%

Among likely Republican caucus-goers in New Hampshire:
Donald Trump 30%
Sen. Marco Rubio 14%
Gov. Chris Christie 12%
Sen. Ted Cruz 10%
Gov. John Kasich 9%
Gov. Jeb Bush 9%

Among potential Republican caucus-goers in New Hampshire, the numbers are unchanged for these candidates.

Among likely Democratic caucus-goers in New Hampshire:
Sen. Bernie Sanders 50%
Hillary Clinton 46%
Martin O’Malley 1%

Among potential Democratic caucus-goers in New Hampshire:
Sen. Bernie Sanders 50%
Hillary Clinton 44%
Martin O’Malley 4%

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Donald Trump Falls 12 Points In National Poll

The latest Reuters poll reveals GOP presidential hopeful Donald Trump has dropped 12 points in less than a week, his largest single poll-to-poll drop since he took the primary lead in July.

Trump drew 31% of Republicans, but fell from 43% support registered on Nov. 22.

This follows Trump’s calls for added surveillance of mosques and a possible registry/database of U.S. Muslims – all of which caused comparisons to Nazi Germany’s registration of Jews.

Other results of the poll:

• Ben Carson 15%
• Sen. Ted Cruz and Sen. Marco Rubio 8%
• Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush 7%

(source)

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Poll: Hillary Clinton Increases Lead Over Sen. Bernie Sanders For Democratic Nomination

The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton increasing her lead to the tune of 2-1 over Democratic rival Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Via MSNBC:

In the new poll, conducted Oct. 25-29, 62% of Democrats chose Clinton as their top choice to win their party’s presidential nomination, while 31% picked Sanders. Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley received just 3% support.

That’s up from Clinton’s 25-point lead earlier in October, 58% to 33%.

Eighty-four percent of Dems see Clinton as the eventual nominee; only 12% expect Sanders to secure the nomination

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New National Poll Shows Ben Carson Leading Donald Trump For GOP Nomination

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows retired Dr. Ben Carson is leading former front runner Donald Trump of the Republican presidential nomination.

The new survey shows Carson getting 29% support versus Trump’s 23%.

Sen. Marco Rubio clocked in at 11%, Sen. Ted Cruz at 10% and former Florida governor Jeb Bush 8%.

This is the second national poll indicating Carson now leads the race.

Stay tuned for The Donald’s soon-to-come Twitter rant about how wrong the poll is.

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Hillary Clinton Jumps Six Points In National Poll After Debate

According to results of the latest Monmouth University national poll released, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton improved her standing among registered voters by six points after the first Democratic debate.

Clinton: 48% (up from 42% last month)
Sanders: 21% (up from 20% last month)
Biden: 17% (down from 22% last month)
Webb: 1%
O’Malley: less than 1%
Chaffee: less than 1%

57% of Biden supporters say they would throw their vote to Clinton if Biden doesn’t run.

24% of Biden’s supporters would switch to Sanders.

If Biden were to enter the race, Clinton would still lead by double-digits, Sanders could drop to the #3 spot:

Clinton: 42%
Biden: 27%
Sanders: 20%

“The specter of a Biden candidacy still hangs over this race, but Clinton can take comfort that she has appeared to win back some support with a solid debate performance,” said Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

The Monmouth University poll of 340 registered voters was conducted between Oct. 15 and Oct. 18 and has a 5.3 percentage point margin of error.

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PolitiFact Debunks The “CNN Deleted Bernie Sanders Won Debate Poll” Myth

No, Bernie Sanders supporters – CNN did not delete a poll showing he won the first Democratic debate.

Although this story has run wild on the internet, PolitiFact has debunked this internet myth:

The poll showing Sanders way ahead is here on Facebook through CNN.com/vote. It’s not on CNN’s website, but it’s not clear that it ever was on CNN’s website.

CNN’s digital team used a Facebook app to run live polls of users about what they thought of the debate as it was happening.

CNN anchor Don Lemon reported on the strong show of support for Sanders from CNN’s Facebook Lounge on debate night.

So not only did CNN not delete the poll, but the news channel also did not hide it.

The poll is still up on Facebook here.

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Poll: Hillary Clinton Regains The Lead In New Hampshire After Strong Debate Performance

A new Suffolk University poll has good news for the Hillary Clinton campaign in New Hampshire.

Clearly, her strong performance at this week’s Democratic debate made a good impression on New Hampshire voters as she has regained the lead in the Granite State.

The results of the new survey show Hillary at 37% and Sanders at 35%. That’s within the error of margin, but a clear improvement over past weeks.

Regarding the debate specifically, among the 283 polled who watched the two hour event, 54% said Clinton was the winner; 24% chose Sanders.

New Hampshire Democrats also pick Clinton as having the best chance to win in the general election next fall – 52% majority favoring Clinton, while only 16% who look to Sanders.