Polls: Donald Trump Leads Hillary Clinton In Ohio & Florida

The latest CNN/ORC polls in swing states Ohio and Florida show Republican Donald Trump holds a slight edge in each.

In Ohio, it’s Trump up with 46% support and Democrat Hillary Clinton at 41%.

In Florida, likely voters lean Trump by 47% while Hillary trails at 44%.

The tightening appears in part due to pollsters reporting more heavily on Likely voters after Labor Day rather than Registered voters.

Under a registered voter screen, Clinton leads Trump 45% to 44% in Florida. In Ohio, Trump tops Clinton with registered voters 43% to 39%.

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com now puts Clinton’s odds of winning at 64.1%.

President Obama’s Approval Rating Hits 58%

Good news for Hillary Clinton as President Obama’s approval rating has just hit his highest marks since July of 2009.

According to the ABC News/Washington Post poll, eight in 10 Obama approvers back her for the presidency.

That same poll shows Clinton currently holds a five point lead over Donald Trump.

Additionally, 58% of respondents believe she will be elected president versus only 29% believe Trump to win in November. That’s a new low for Trump on that metric.

New Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump +5

The latest poll from the Washington Post:

Clinton holds a 46 percent to 41 percent edge over Trump among likely voters, followed by Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson at 9 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 2 percent.

Clinton’s lead swells to 10 percentage points among the wider swath of registered voters, 45 percent to 35 percent, similar to her 45 percent to 37 percent edge last month.

Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight website currently projects a 70% chance of Clinton winning on November 8th.

CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leads Hillary By 2 Points

The latest CNN.ORC poll shows Donald Trump with a two point lead over Democrat Hillary Clinton as the race for the White House enters the final nine weeks of campaigning.

Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7% and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at just 2%.

Read the full results of the poll here, and watch CNN’s David Chalian break down the numbers below:

New Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump By 7 Points

The latest national Suffolk University/USA Today poll out Thursday shows Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by 7 points.

Clinton received the support of 48% of 1,000 likely voters, while Trump earned 41%.

This matches similar results from the recent Fox News poll released Wednesday evening, and the 7 point margin shown in the latest Monmouth University poll.

In a four-way race, the survey showed Clinton still held a 7 point lead garnering 42% support, Trump receiving 35%, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson scored 9% and Green Party nominee Jill Stein received just 3%. The remaining 10 percent were undecided.

Trump barely led Clinton among male voters (44%/43%), while Clinton trounced Trump by 16 points among women (54%/38%).

Trump leads by 8 points (49%/41%) with white voters, but Clinton leads by 41 points with Hispanic voters (65%/24%) and by 87 points among black voters (91%/4%).

Monmouth University Poll: Hillary Clinton Holds 7 Point Lead Over Donald Trump

Monmouth University poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton currently leads Republican Donald Trump by 7 points in the survey’s latest results.

Clinton snagged 46% support versus Trump’s 39%.

Third party candidates remain in the single digits with Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 7% and Green Party’s Jill Stein at 2%.

Those numbers make it unlikely that they will make the presidential debate stage. The debate commission rules state that candidates have to average at least 15% across five major polls to qualify for the debate stage.

While the two major candidates both have low “favorable” scores and high “unfavorables,” Clinton does better than Trump in both categories.

In the current poll, 34% of voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 51% have an unfavorable view of her.

Even fewer (26%) have a favorable opinion of Trump and 57% have an unfavorable view of him.

Trump Campaign Says Polling Skewed Because It’s Trendy To Oppose Trump

The Trump campaign is now telling folks, like the UK’s Channel 4, that presidential polling showing Donald Trump trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton isn’t accurate because it’s become gauche to be a professed Trump supporter these days.

Via Mediaite:

Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway told the UK’s Channel 4 that Donald Trump is actually winning the election, but every poll is wrong because Trump voters are undercover.

Conway denied on the Channel 4 special “President Trump: Can He Really Win?” that Trump was losing and denounced the polls that showed him down to Hillary Clinton as “cherry-picked polling numbers that are put out there by media outlets that are also bent on his destruction.”

“Donald Trump performs consistently better in online polling where a human being is not talking to another human being about what he or she may do in the election,” she argued. “It’s because it’s become socially desirable, if you’re a college educated person in the United States of America, to say that you’re against Donald Trump.”

“The hidden Trump vote in this country is a very significant proposition,” she insisted.

“Have you been able to put a number on that?” asked the Channel 4 interviewer.

“Yes,” Conway responded confidently.

“What do you think that is?”

“I can’t discuss it,” she said. “It’s a project we’re doing internally. I call it the undercover Trump voter, but it’s real.”

Very interesting spin. I find it very hard to believe that, given the “out and proud” Trump crazies, that there are enough “undercover Trump voters” to really skew every major poll in the country for a month.

Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Hillary Clinton Opens Up 12 Lead Over Donald Trump

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a strong 12 point lead over Republican Donald Trump.

Even as Trump relentlessly hammers Clinton over an “everything but the kitchen sink” range of issues, likely voters favor Clinton over Trump 45% versus 33%.

Even in a four-way poll that Clinton holds a decisive 8 point lead over Trump, still well outside the 3 point margin of error.

The four man race broke down as Clinton getting 41%, Trump 33%, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson 7% and Green Party candidate 2%.

From Reuters:

Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton’s lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll.

The poll also found that about 22 percent of likely voters would not pick either candidate. That lack of support is high compared with how people responded to the poll during the 2012 presidential election between Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.

“Those who are wavering right now are just as likely to be thinking about supporting a third-party candidate instead, and not between Clinton and Trump,” said Tom Smith, who directs the Center for the Study of Politics and Society at the University of Chicago.

Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump +6 In Ohio

From CBS News:

In Ohio, which is so critical to Donald Trump’s electoral fortunes, it is Hillary Clinton who has extended her lead and is now up six points, 46 percent to 40 percent; she was up four points in July. Clinton has made gains among women, and remains bolstered by a nearly-unified Democratic base. She wins 90 percent of Democrats, while Trump remains hampered by just enough reluctant Republicans: He’s at 79 percent of GOPers.

Latest Reuters Poll Shows Clinton With 8 Point Lead Over Trump

The latest Reuters national poll, taken between August 14-18, shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has an 8 point lead over Republican Donald Trump.

The survey’s results showed that Clinton currently pulls 42% support while Trump has dropped to 34% support.

When factoring in third party candidates, Clinton’s margin holds with her getting 41%, Trump 34%, Libertarian Gary Johnson 7% and Green Party’s Jill Stein 2%.

Reuters notes that at this point in the 2012 presidential contest, there was barely a 2 point margin between President Obama and opponent Mitt Romney.

In related news, CNN shared it’s latest projected electoral college map today. Due to recent polling, CNN has moved several important swing states (New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia) to “lean Democrat” from “Battleground.”

For now, this would indicate that Clinton would have 273 electoral votes (you need 270 to win)
if the election were held today.