Ted Cruz Wins Iowa Caucuses

In what is being viewed as a surprise – Donald Trump was leading in all the polls up to last night – Sen. Ted Cruz won the Iowa Caucuses with almost 28% of the vote.

Billionaire Donald Trump came in second with 24%, just ahead of Sen. Marco Rubio’s surprisingly strong third place finish with 23%.

The presidential hopefuls now head to New Hampshire where the Trumpster holds a sizeable lead among his fellow GOP candidates.

Iowa Democratic Party Names Hillary Clinton Winner Of Iowa Caucuses By Slim Margin

The Iowa Democratic Party has announced former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton the winner of the 2016 Iowa Caucuses.

Clinton’s win comes by the slimmest of margins:

“The results tonight are the closest in Iowa Democratic caucus history. Hillary Clinton has been awarded 699.57 state delegate equivalents, Bernie Sanders has been awarded 695.49 state delegate equivalents, Martin O’Malley has been awarded 7.68 state delegate equivalents and uncommitted has been awarded .46 state delegate equivalents. We still have outstanding results in one precinct (Des Moines—42), which is worth 2.28 state delegate equivalents.

Other news outlets also declared Clinton the winner of the Iowa caucuses, including MSNBC, NBC and The Washington Post.

After a poor showing, former Governor of Maryland, Martin O’Malley, announced he is “suspending” his campaign.

The remaining two Democratic candidates move on to New Hampshire now where RealClearPolitics shows Sen. Bernie Sanders with an average of 18 points ahead of Clinton.

Following next week’s voting in New Hampshire the action moves to Nevada where Clinton holds a 19 point lead, and South Carolina where Clinton is 30 points ahead of Sanders.

Donald Trump Attacks Iowa’s Anti-Gay Hate Group Leader Bob Vander Plaats Over Cruz Endorsement

Bob Vander Plaats (R) predicts Iowa win for Sen. Ted Cruz

Donald Trump took to Twitter to attack virulently anti-gay hate group leader Bob Vander Plaats after Vander Plaats endoresed Sen. Ted Cruz.

In 2012, Vander Plaats was famously accused of attempting to sell his endorsement to Rick Santorum for $1 million.

Final Poll Before Iowa Caucus: Hillary Clinton +3, Donald Trump +5

The final poll before the Iowa Caucus’s tomorrow shows Hillary Clinton leading her Democratic opponent Sen. Bernie Sanders by a narrow 3 points, while on the Republican side Donald Trump has retaken the lead over Sen. Ted Cruz 28% vs. 23%.

Results from the Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register:

Democrats
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton – 45%
Sen. Bernie Sanders – 42%
Gov. Martin O’Malley – 3%

Interesting to note, 83% of Clinton’s supporters say their mind is made up, while 69% of Sander’s supporters say the same. Twenty-nine percent of those leaning Sander’s way say they could change their minds.

Republicans:
Donald Trump – 28%
Sen. Ted Cruz – 23%
Se. Marco Rubio – 15%
Dr. Ben Carson – 10%
Sen. Rand Paul – 5%
Gov. Chris Christie – 3%
Gov. Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, Gov. Mike Huckabee, Gov. John Kasich and Rick Santorum – 2%

Iowa: New PPP Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Leading Bernie Sanders By 8 Points

As we get closer and closer to Monday’s Iowa caucus’s, folks are looking to polls even more to read tea leaves about who may win on the Democratic side.

A new PPP poll shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leading Sen. Bernie Sanders 48% to his 40%. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley comes in with 7%.

PPP makes note that O’Malley’s voter COULD end up helping Sanders as the survey shows 57% of O’Malley’s supporters name Sanders as their second pick.

In Iowa, for a candidate to receive any delegates from a particular precinct, he or she must have the support of at least 15% of participants required by the viability threshold. Supporters of inviable candidates can shift to a candidate deemed viable, form a new group of other inviable candidates in hopes of reaching the threshold, or choose to abstain.

This is where folks “second choice” factors prominently.

Also of note: 88% of Clinton’s supporters say they are “firmly committed” to voting for her versus 74% of Sander’s supporters.

Come Monday we’ll finally have some real turnout and real votes to see where this is all headed.

Iowa: Hillary Clinton Up 5 Points Over Bernie Sanders In New Monmouth University Poll

From CNN:

Hillary Clinton holds an edge over Bernie Sanders in the Democratic presidential race among likely Democratic caucus-goers, according to a new Iowa poll.

Clinton has 47% support compared to Sanders’ 42%, according to a Monmouth University survey released Thursday. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley comes in third with 6% support.

Iowa: New Poll Shows HIllary Clinton Leading Sen. Bernie Sanders By 3 Points

With only five days until the all-important Iowa caucus’s, a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leading Sen. Bernie Sanders by a scant 3 points

Via The Hill:

A new poll shows Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) running neck-and-neck among likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa. Clinton has 48 percent support, compared to Sanders’s 45 percent in the Hawkeye State, within the margin of error of the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.

Sanders widened his lead over the former secretary of State to 19 points in New Hampshire, however, adding 15 points from a similar poll earlier this month.

Clinton remains dominant in South Carolina with a 37-point lead over the Vermont senator, 64 to 27 percent.

Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley hold the third spot in all three early voting states, pollsters also found, with 3 percent in Iowa, 2 percent in New Hampshire and 2 percent in South Carolina.

Video: What Is A Caucus, Anyway?

We caucus here in Nevada, and I really, really dislike it.

As the video points out, many people don’t have the time to take off work and attend a caucus for an hour or two at a specific time.

Primaries, which are like a regular election, are held all day – people can come, vote and leave in the morning, afternoon or night. Whatever time suits their life and schedule.

Primaries definitely include more voters, and that should be the point. I’m told Nevada does the caucus thing because primaries cost more. Boo.