Reuter’s “State of the Nation” project is predicting Democrat Hillary Clinton to win in a landslide with 326 electoral votes.
In the last week, there has been little movement. Clinton leads Donald Trump in most of the states that Trump would need should he have a chance to win the minimum 270 votes needed to win. According to the project, she has a better than 95 percent chance of winning, if the election was held this week. The mostly likely outcome would be 326 votes for Clinton to 212 for Trump.
Trump came off his best debate performance of the campaign Wednesday evening but the polling consensus still showed Clinton winning the third and final face-off on prime-time TV. Trump disputes those findings.
And some national polls had the race tightening a wee bit this week though others had Clinton maintaining her solid lead. But the project illustrates that the broader picture remains bleak for Trump with 17 days to go until the Nov. 8 election.
Reuters notes that Trump has lost ground in Arizona and Utah. Conservative Independent Utah native Evan McMullin is currently leading in polls there. Some pundits believe it possible for the independent to win the state’s 6 electoral votes.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll has good news for Democrat Hillary Clinton showing she now leads Republican Donald Trump by 8 points.
The survey also indicates that 1 in 5 Republicans feel his vulgar comments about groping women disqualify him from the presidency.
The poll was taken after the 2nd presidential debate Sunday night where Trump faced questions regarding his recorded statements in 2005 that he liked to grab women by their genitals.
The poll released on Tuesday showed Clinton, the Democratic nominee, had increased her lead over Trump, the Republican nominee, to 8 percentage points on Monday from 5 points last week.
When asked to pick between the two major-party candidates, 45 percent of likely voters said they supported Clinton while 37 percent supported Trump. Another 18 percent said they would not support either candidate.
Trump was under pressure during Sunday’s debate to restore confidence in his struggling campaign after dozens of lawmakers repudiated him over the weekend. He hammered Clinton’s handling of classified information while serving as secretary of state and referred to her as “the devil.” At one point, he said he would jail Clinton if he were president.
Among those who said they watched at least portions of the debate, 53 percent said Clinton won while 32 percent said Trump won. The results fell along partisan lines, however: 82 percent of Democrats felt Clinton won, while 68 percent of Republicans felt that Trump won.
Among likely voters who watched the debate, 48 percent said they supported Clinton while 38 percent supported Trump.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a strong 12 point lead over Republican Donald Trump.
Even as Trump relentlessly hammers Clinton over an “everything but the kitchen sink” range of issues, likely voters favor Clinton over Trump 45% versus 33%.
Even in a four-way poll that Clinton holds a decisive 8 point lead over Trump, still well outside the 3 point margin of error.
The four man race broke down as Clinton getting 41%, Trump 33%, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson 7% and Green Party candidate 2%.
Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton’s lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll.
The poll also found that about 22 percent of likely voters would not pick either candidate. That lack of support is high compared with how people responded to the poll during the 2012 presidential election between Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.
“Those who are wavering right now are just as likely to be thinking about supporting a third-party candidate instead, and not between Clinton and Trump,” said Tom Smith, who directs the Center for the Study of Politics and Society at the University of Chicago.
The latest Reuters national poll, taken between August 14-18, shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has an 8 point lead over Republican Donald Trump.
The survey’s results showed that Clinton currently pulls 42% support while Trump has dropped to 34% support.
When factoring in third party candidates, Clinton’s margin holds with her getting 41%, Trump 34%, Libertarian Gary Johnson 7% and Green Party’s Jill Stein 2%.
Reuters notes that at this point in the 2012 presidential contest, there was barely a 2 point margin between President Obama and opponent Mitt Romney.
In related news, CNN shared it’s latest projected electoral college map today. Due to recent polling, CNN has moved several important swing states (New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia) to “lean Democrat” from “Battleground.”
For now, this would indicate that Clinton would have 273 electoral votes (you need 270 to win)
if the election were held today.
Thomson Reuters is the latest company to announce that it’s opposing
Minnesota’s proposed constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriage.
In an e-mail to employees, the highest two ranking executives
headquartered in Minnesota (Mike Suchsland, President of Thomson Reuters
Legal, and Rick King, COO, Technology) wrote that the amendment would
hurt their ability to attract employees to work in Minnesota. Thompson
Reuters is headquartered in New York and Westlaw, formerly West
Publishing, is a subsidiary in Eagan.
“We believe the Minnesota Marriage Amendment, if passed, would limit
our ability to recruit and retain top talent,” the e-mail said. “For
this reason, we do not believe that the Amendment would be good for
Thomson Reuters or the business community in the state.”
Thomson Reuters has 7,900 employees in Minnesota. In the e-mail,
company officials also noted that the company’s position is a “business
decision” and that “as a news organization, Thomson Reuters is dedicated
to upholding our Trust Principles and does not advocate political or
The company’s announcement comes just weeks after General Mills
announced that it would oppose the amendment. It has also sparked a
debate over whether the amendment would hurt or help the state’s