Tag: polls

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Biden Still Leads In Latest Poll, But Warren Jumps 5 Points

The Hill reports former Vice President Joe Biden leads the posse of Democratic presidential contenders by double-digits in the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll. Biden garnered 32 percent support with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) coming in second with half that – 16 percent. Those results show a slight decline for both men since the last survey by the polling outfit. However, the new data shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) getting 13 percent support, a 5-point jump since the last Harvard CAPS/Harris poll was conducted in July after the last set of debates. Warren is the only candidate to show a notable increase in support. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) pegged fourth place with 7 percent support; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) tied for fifth place with 4 percent support. I realize we’re 14 months from the general election, but the first Democratic test comes in Iowa in January.

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Poll: Warren Takes 11 Point Lead In Iowa

Sen. Elizabeth Warren

The latest Iowa Starting Line-Change Research poll shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has opened up an 11 point lead in the Iowa Caucus.

Warren scored 28% support from likely Iowa Caucus-goers in the poll.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) were tied for second with 17 percent each.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg came in fourth at 13 percent and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) has the backing of 8 percent.

Both Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) garnered 3% of caucus-goers’ support.

The remaining candidates received 2 percent or less.

(image via Starting Line/Change Research)

That’s quite a change from the last Starting Line-Change Research poll from May when Warren was in the middle of the pack in 4th place.

Here’s where things stood then, along with their movement since:

May Poll (change to August):
Joe Biden: 24% (-7)
Bernie Sanders: 24% (-7)
Pete Buttigieg: 14% (-1)
Elizabeth Warren: 12% (+16)
Kamala Harris: 10% (-2)
Beto O’Rourke: 5% (-2)

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Biden Leads By Double-Digits In New National Poll

New polling continues to show former Vice President Joe Biden holds a significant lead over other Democratic presidential contenders.
Donald Trump (L), Joe Biden (R)

New polling shows former Vice President Joe Biden continues to hold a significant lead over other Democratic presidential contenders.

From The Hill:

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a 2-to-1 lead nationally over the next closest Democratic presidential contender after the second round of debates, according to the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.

The new survey finds Biden with 34 percent support among Democrats, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) at 17 percent.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is in third place with 9 percent support, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 8 percent, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 4 percent, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke at 3 percent and Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) at 2 percent.

“Biden has been steady despite some rocky performances at the debates,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. “The Democratic voters are far more in sync with Biden’s views than any of the other candidates running. He maintains his front-runner status.”

The poll also showed 46 percent of Democrats view Biden as best choice to beat Trump, followed by Sanders at 34 percent.

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Trump Twitter Tantrum After Fox & Friends Reads Fox News Poll Showing Biden 10+

L-R Donald Trump, Joe Biden

Donald Trump is now raging at his beloved Fox & Friends morning show on Fox News.

The hosts made the grave error of reading the results of Fox’s own recent poll showing Trump would lose to former Vice President Joe Biden by 10 points.

Remember, this is from Fox News itself.

“FoxNews is at it again. So different from what they used to be during the 2016 Primaries, & before – Proud Warriors! Now new Fox Polls, which have always been terrible to me (they had me losing BIG to Crooked Hillary), have me down to Sleepy Joe. Even considering the fact that I have gone through a three year vicious Witch Hunt, perpetrated by the Lamestream Media in Collusion with Crooked and the Democrat Party, there can be NO WAY, with the greatest Economy in U.S. history, that I can be losing to the Sleepy One. KEEP AMERICA GREAT!”

Cue the sad trombone sound…

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News Round-Up: July 24, 2019

(via Instagram)

Some news items you might have missed:

• InstaHunks: Woofy Diego Lozano (above) reminds me how many InstaHunks I follow in Spain. Which I guess explains why I’m headed back there in August 😉

• The Economist: In a new poll conducted by YouGov, former Vice President Joe Biden has a 7 point lead over Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) 25/18 respectively. In third place, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) garnered 13 percent support.

• GQ: Asked about “gay rumors,” NFL star Odell Beckham Jr. says he “wasn’t offended,” adding, “I have no problem with anyone’s sexual orientation. Love is Love.”

• Twitter: Not to be weird or anything, but is that the ‘white power’ hand signal Trump is making?

• Billboard: Out rapper Lil Nas X has tied the record (16 weeks) for the most weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100. The other record holders are Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men’s “One Sweet Day,” and Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee and Justin Bieber’s “Despacito.” He also scored 8 MTV Music Video Award nominations today including ‘Video of the Year.’

• USA Today: A New Jersey school board member, Daniel Leonard, may face an ethics inquiry over social media posts that include violent comments regarding Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Michigan). One post read, “My life would be complete if she/they die,” across a photo of Tlaib. Leonard was, unsurprisingly, charged in a road rage incident last week where he crashed into a tree while chasing another motorist.

• Out Music: Openly pansexual artist Madison Malone releases this sweet mid-tempo groove, “Quiet Down.” The music video features a wide, diverse universe of folks sharing their thoughts on what “love is.”

The Wisconsin native has performed at some of the world’s largest music festivals including SXSW and SUMMERFEST, where she was voted ‘Favorite Emerging Artist.’ Find out more at her official website here.

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CNN Draws Lineups For 2nd Democratic Debates As Biden Continues To Lead

A new NBC News|SurveyMonkey online poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden still leading the pack of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, although the numbers are beginning to tighten.

Biden garnered 25% support in the survey taken after the first Democratic debate.
Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) tied at second with 16% support each.
California Sen. Kamala Harris barely behind them with 14% and Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the Top 5 with 8% support.

These seem to be coalescing into the top tier candidates.

In related news, CNN drew the placements last night for the second Democratic debates set to take place July 30 and 31.

Looks like Sanders and Warren will get to go head-to-head on the first night along with Mayor Pete, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, while Harris and Biden will have another chance to go at it on the second night .

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Poll: Harris Moves Into 2nd Place In New Hampshire Poll

The latest New Hampshire primary poll conducted by Saint Anselm College shows Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) moving into second place while Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) drops to fifth place.

• Former Vice President Joe Biden 21% (-2)
• Sen. Kamala Harris 18% (+11)
• Sen. Elizabeth Warren 17% (+8)
• Mayor Pete Buttigieg 12% (+1)
• Sen. Bernie Sanders 10% (-6)
• Entrepreneur Andrew Yang 5%
• Se. Amy Klobuchar 3% (+1)
• Author Marianne Williamson 2% (new)
• Sen. Cory Booker 1%
• Rep. Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand 1%

The survey did not include other candidates: former U.S. Housing Secretary Julian Castro, former U.S. Rep. John Delaney, former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper, U.S. Reps. Seth Moulton and Tim Ryan, Sen. Michael Bennet, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and Montana Gov. Steve Bullock.

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New Poll Shows Only Biden With Decisive Margin Beating Trump

Donald Trump

Even though most Americans don’t approve of Donald Trump’s performance in most areas (except the economy) and see him as ‘unpresidential,’ new polling by a Washington Post/ABC News shows Trump does have a path to a second term thanks to a healthy economy.

The recent survey found Trump at his highest approval rating in the poll since he took office at 44 percent, with 53 percent disapproving.

The economy is the one topic where Trump edges out positive territory approval with 51 percent approving of his handling of the economy, with 42 percent disapproving.

According to the Washington Post, when asked how much credit Trump deserves for the state of the economy, 47 percent say a “great deal” or a “good amount,” while 48 percent say he deserves “only some” or “hardly any.”

A lopsided 65 percent feel Trump is “unpresidential” while only 28 percent say he is “fitting and proper.”

The recent poll asked respondents about head-to-head matchups between Trump and five possible Democratic nominees: former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.), Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Biden had the only decisive margin with the former Vice President beating Trump 53 percent to 43 percent, respectively.

Sen. Harris edged Trump by 2 points, 48 percent to Trump’s 46 percent.

Sen. Sanders barely beat Trump by one point, 49 percent/48 percent, Warren tied Trump at 48 percent, and Buttigieg tied the Trumpster at 47 percent.

There is still a big gender divide among voters with men favoring Trump over four of the Democrats (it’s pretty much a tie between Trump and Biden), and women choosing all five Dems over the president.

I know some folks don’t see how Trump could be re-elected – this is how.

Check out the article at the WaPo here. 

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New Florida Poll Shows Biden Would Beat Trump 9+

A new poll of Florida voters from Quinnipiac University shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 9 points in a hypothetical head-to-head match up 50% - 41% respectively.
Donald Trump (L) Joe Biden (R)

I know, I know, it’s way early but I always find polls (from reputable firms) interesting to gauge the mood of voters.

A new poll of Florida voters from Quinnipiac University shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 9 points in a hypothetical head-to-head match up 50% – 41% respectively.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders would trump Trump by 6 points, 48% – 42% respectively.

Some Democrats did better than Trump but within the statistical margin of error:

• Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren 47% to Trump’s 43%

• California Sen. Kamala Harris 45% to Trump’s 44%

• Former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke 45% to Trump’s 44%

• Mayor Pete Buttigieg 44% to Trump’s 43%

Also from the survey:

• Democrats back Joe Biden 91 – 3 percent versus Republicans backing Trump 90 – 7 percent.

• Florida voters are not hip on impeaching Trump 62 percent against versus 32 percent who support.

• 54 percent of Florida voters say they are better off today than they were in 2016; 23 percent say they are worse off.

• But Trump’s approval rating is still upside down: 44% approval versus disapproval at 51%.

On the Democrats side, Joe Biden has a huge lead among his fellow contenders garnering 41 percent.

It drops a lot to the second place with Sanders getting 14 percent, Warren 12 percent, Buttigieg 8 percent and Harris scoring 6 percent.

While Trump won Florida’s 29 electoral votes in 2016, he beat Hillary Clinton by only 1.2 points – 49 percent to 47.8 percent respectively. So anything along the lines of this poll is devastating for Trump.

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Trump Tells Aides To Deny His Own Polling Showing Him Trailing 6 Democrats

Donald Trump

No surprise, but when Donald Trump gets bad news – even from inside his own campaign – he just jumps over to Earth 2 and lives in his own reality.

From the New York Times:

After being briefed on a devastating 17-state poll conducted by his campaign pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Mr. Trump told aides to deny that his internal polling showed him trailing Mr. Biden in many of the states he needs to win, even though he is also trailing in public polls from key states like Texas, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

And when top-line details of the polling leaked, including numbers showing the president lagging in a cluster of critical Rust Belt states, Mr. Trump instructed aides to say publicly that other data showed him doing well.

Trump then took to Twitter to lie saying his internal polling shows “the best numbers WE have ever had.”

In reality, a new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday showed Trump trailing six Democratic White House hopefuls nationally:

In hypothetical head-to-head matchups, former Vice President Joe Biden trumped Trump by 13 points, 53 percent to 40 percent.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) beat Trump 51 percent to Trump’s 42 percent.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) ahead of Trump 49 percent to 41 percent.

Sen. Elizabeth Warrant (D-MA) up 49 percent to Trump’s 42 percent.

Both Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Cory Booker (N-NJ) topped Trump by 5 points, 47 percent to 42 percent.