Pew Poll: Hillary Clinton Holds 9+ Lead Over Donald Trump

Pew Research shares the latest nationwide results in the 2016 presidential campaign:

The new national survey by Pew Research Center was conducted June 15-26 among 2,245 adults, including 1,655 registered voters.

In a two-way contest, 51% of registered voters support Clinton or lean toward her, while 42% support or lean toward Trump.

In a three-way contest, including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, 45% favor Clinton, 36% support Trump and 11% back Johnson.

A majority of registered voters (56%) say the phrase “personally qualified to be president” better describes Clinton than Trump; just 30% say the phrase better describes Trump.

Far more voters also say the phrase “would use good judgment in a crisis” better describes Clinton (53%) than Trump (36%).

It’s interesting to note that in 2012, the June Pew Poll showed President Obama up over Mitt Romney 50% to 46%, and Obama went on to win by the same margin – 4 points.

In June of 2008, Obama led Sen. John McCain by 8 points, 48% – 40%, and Obama won by a similar spread – 7 points.

I’ll  be curious to see if this predictive ability holds up this November.

Poll: 61% of young Republicans support marriage equality

A new poll released Monday by the Pew Research Center reports that 61% of young Republicans under age 30 favor same-sex marriage.

Only 35% of Republicans and Republican-leaners under 30 are opposed.

Meanwhile, about 70% of independents and Democrats under 30 support marriage equality.

More proof why the legalization of same-sex marriage everywhere in America is merely a matter of time.

I vote for sooner rather than later.


Poll: 85% of Americans support background checks for ALL gun sales

According to a Pew Research Center poll, 85% of the public backs making private gun sales and purchases at gun shows subject to background checks, with comparable support across party lines. Other results from the poll:

• 80% favor laws to prevent mentally ill people from purchasing guns, with broad support from Democrats, Republicans and independent voters.

• 67% support creating a federal database to track gun sales, but there’s a partisan divide, with 84% of Democrats and only 49% of Republicans favoring the proposal.

• 55% favor a ban on assault style weapons, 54% back a ban on high capacity ammunition clips, and 53% support a ban on on-line ammunition sales, but again there’s a wide partisan divide between Democrats and Republicans on these proposals.

• 64% support putting armed security guards or police in more schools, but only four in ten say arming more teachers and school officials with guns is a good idea.

• 51% of Americans say it’s more important to control gun ownership than to protect gun rights. This is virtually unchanged from Pew poll that was conducted in the days following the Newtown, Connecticut shootings.

(via CNN)

Poll: Majority of Americans agree wealthy should pay more in taxes

The Pew Center has released the results of a new poll that shows 58% of Americans feel the wealthy should pay more in taxes.

In addition, Pew adds “Even among those who consider themselves upper or upper-middle class,
fully 52% say upper-income people pay too little. Only 10% of this group
says upper-class adults say people pay too much in taxes.”

Other results of the poll show that 63 percent of those surveyed said the Republican party
favors the rich. Nearly 70 percent said the Democratic party favors
either the middle class or the poor.

However, it is worth noting that the vast majority of middle class respondents – 92% – say they admire the rich who get wealthy through hard work.

More results here.

New Pew Poll shows President Obama up by double digits

Politico is reporting the results of a new poll by Pew Research Center:

Currently, 51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean toward Romney. This is largely unchanged from earlier in July and consistent with polling over the course of this year. Across eight Pew Research Center surveys since January, Obama has led Romney by between four and 12 percentage points.

Obama holds only a four-point edge (48% to 44%) across 12 of this year’s key battleground states. While the data does not allow a state-by-state analysis, the overall balance of support in these closely contested states has remained level in recent months, with Obama slightly ahead, but neither candidate holding a significant advantage


Poll: Marriage equality supported by 65% of Democrats

With the Democratic Party officially adding a platform plank supporting gay marriage, a new poll by the Pew Research Center shows why such a move makes sense.

According to the new poll, 65% of Democrats now support same-sex marriage.  This is an increase of 15 points from 50% in 2008.

The poll also shows Independents now support marriage equality to the tune of 51%, versus 40% who oppose equal rights for gays and lesbians.  That’s a seven point move up in support from 2008’s 44%.

Just 24% of Republicans now favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally, which is only slightly higher than the percentage of Republicans who supported gay marriage in 2008 (19%).

The Pew poll used 2,973 live telephone interviews with American adults conducted June 28th to July 9th. It has a sampling error of 2.1 percent.

Obama leads all GOP candidates in head-to-head contests

President Barack Obama is leading all of the Republican presidential candidates in head-to-head match-ups, according to a poll released Wednesday by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press.

• A national survey taken March 7-11 showed Obama leading Romney by 12 percentage points (54-42) and even further ahead of Santorum with 57 percent of support to Santorum’s 29 percent.

• For the first time since shortly after Osama bin Laden was killed, half of all Americans (50 percent) say they approve of Barack Obama’s job performance.

• Mitt Romney currently holds a 33-24 lead over Santorum among registered Republican and Republican-leaning independent voters, with 20 percent backing Newt Gingrich and 14 percent favoring Ron Paul.

• By a 59-32 margin, most Americans think Barack Obama will win the election if Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee. That margin is far wider if Rick Santorum is the GOP nominee: 68 percent think Obama would win, while just 24 percent predict a Santorum presidency.

• In the current survey, just 29 percent of Americans say they have a favorable view of Romney, while 51 percent say they have an unfavorable impression.

• Women favor Obama over Romney by 20 points—virtually unchanged from a month ago.