Pew Research shares the latest nationwide results in the 2016 presidential campaign:
The new national survey by Pew Research Center was conducted June 15-26 among 2,245 adults, including 1,655 registered voters.
In a two-way contest, 51% of registered voters support Clinton or lean toward her, while 42% support or lean toward Trump.
In a three-way contest, including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, 45% favor Clinton, 36% support Trump and 11% back Johnson.
A majority of registered voters (56%) say the phrase “personally qualified to be president” better describes Clinton than Trump; just 30% say the phrase better describes Trump.
Far more voters also say the phrase “would use good judgment in a crisis” better describes Clinton (53%) than Trump (36%).
It’s interesting to note that in 2012, the June Pew Poll showed President Obama up over Mitt Romney 50% to 46%, and Obama went on to win by the same margin – 4 points.
In June of 2008, Obama led Sen. John McCain by 8 points, 48% – 40%, and Obama won by a similar spread – 7 points.
I’ll be curious to see if this predictive ability holds up this November.