Mitt Romney camp: Nomination is an “impossibility” for Santorum and Gingrich

The morning after a mixed Super Tuesday victory, Romney campaign strategists made a bold new case: He’s inevitable.

“The nomination is an impossibility for Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich,” said one aide, adding that “they would have to ben the laws of reality” to pull off a win at this stage.

Strategists noted that for Santorum to clinch the nomination, he would need to win 65 percent of the remaining delegates—so far, he’s won only 22.

For Gingrich, the path to the nomination is even steeper: he’d have to win 70 percent of remaining delegates, while he’s only won 14 percent so far.

“It’s going to take some kind of act of God to get where they need to get to the nomination,” the aide said.

Mitt Romney, on the other hand, needs to win only 48 percent of the remaining delegates—and he’s won 52 percent to date.
(source)

President Obama leads GOP candidates in Ohio by double digits

A new NBC/Marist poll of Ohio registered voters shows President Obama at the fifty percent mark in the swing state against former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who sees 38 percent versus the President. Obama leads all possible GOP challengers in the state by double digits, which sampled over 3,000 Ohio voters. From Marist’s analysis:

Ohio voters are more likely to identify as independents than they were in a similar poll conducted in October 2008. 35% of registered voters now consider themselves to be independent compared with 31% at that time. Republican identification has decreased from 31% to 26%, and Democrats are little changed. They went from 37% in 2008 to 38% now. 

“President Obama’s advantage over his potential challengers in Ohio is underscored by the fact that more voters support him over the GOP field than approve of his job performance,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.
(source)

Mitt Romney ahead in recent nat’l polls – Santorum already behind in Ohio before Super Tuesday arrives

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Mitt Romney leads by 6.7% in the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls regarding the GOP Presidential nomination.

We’ll see where that lies after this coming Super Tuesday.

By the way – everyone is talking about Ohio being the big prize both Santorum AND Romney really need to win.

However, not much attention has been paid to the fact that Santorum has already lost nine delegates by not being on ballots in three Ohio congressional districts. Each district merits three delegates.

Santorum failed to file a full complement of delegates in six additional districts, said central committee member Bob Bennett. That adds up to another nine delegates, for a total of 18 out of the 63 up for grabs.

Santorum also did not file all 18 of his at-large delegates.

“He may very well leave delegates on the sidelines,” Bennett said. “Say he would win 70 percent of the state. He doesn’t have that many delegates.”

Moderate GOP Sen. Olympia Snowe to not seek re-election

Believe it or not, this actually makes me a bit sad. GOP Senator Olympia Snowe (Maine) has decided to retire at the end of her current term.

Sen. Olympia Snowe from Maine is one of the few good, moderate, “willing to work with Dems” Republicans left. She has shown a lot of intelligence and ability to get things done.

“Unfortunately, I do not realistically expect the partisanship of recent years in the Senate to change over the short term,” she said in a statement explaining her decision to retire. Snowe said her ability to win re-election was not at issue—she was heavily favored to win re-election. Her exit gives Democrats a new opportunity to be pick up a GOP-held seat in a year where they are fighting to hold on to control of the Senate. Democrats currently control the chamber with a 53-47 split, with 2 independent senators caucusing with Democrats.

Snowe has a 78% rating from the HRC on LGBT issues. She supported the Hate Crimes Act, the repeal of DADT, and voted against the Federal Marriage Amendment. In 2009 she was the Senate cosponsor of the fully-inclusive ENDA.

While it is a good chance for the Dems to pick up a seat, I do have great respect for Sen. Snowe.