Tag: 2012 Election

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Nate Silver sees surge for Romney in polls

Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight, sees the Presidential campaign tightening clearly due to the first Obama/Romney debate.

But while we’re seeing tightening, Nate still sees the President at a 75% chance of winning. Should the Obama campaign stop the bleeding from the first debate, beginning with VP Joe Biden giving a strong performance at the VP debate this Thursday, things could definitely settle.

Everyone knew this would be a tight race. It’s basically where it was months ago.

What will matter will be swing states, like Ohio.

President Obama leads in Ohio 51%-47% according to a poll released Tuesday by CNN.

Watch Ohio.

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Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin leading Tommy Thompson

Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin leads Tommy Thompson, a former four-term governor, by 49% to 46%, according to the liberal-leaning pollster on Monday.

The three-point margin matches the 3-4 point lead Baldwin has shown in two other PPP polls, and reflects polling from Marquette University Law School and other sources that has found Baldwin with a lead in the past month.

The seven-term incumbent could become the first openly gay person elected to the U.S. Senate, and she would be the first woman to represent Wisconsin in the upper chamber.

Via Advocate.com

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President Obama raises $181 million in September for campaign

President Barack Obama’s campaign and Democrats have raised $181 million combined in September, pulling in the most money in one month during his re-election bid.

Obama says in a message on the online social network Twitter that more than 1.8 million people donated in September, including more than a half-million who had not donated before in 2008 or 2012.

Via Huffington Post

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President Obama on the “spirited fellow” who debated him last night

While campaigning today, President Obama told a gathered crowd that the Mitt Romney he debated last night was a new version of the Republican presidential hopeful. He was a more “spirited fellow” than the real former governor, said Obama.

“When I got on the stage, I met this very spirited fellow who claimed to be Mitt Romney,” Obama told supporters. “But it couldn’t have been Mitt Romney, because the real Mitt Romney has been running around the country for the last year promising $5 trillion in tax cuts that favor the wealthy. The fellow on stage last night said he didn’t know anything about that.”

The man on stage last night does not want to be held accountable for the real Mitt Romney’s decisions and what he’s been saying for the last year. And that’s because he knows full well that we don’t want what he’s been selling for the last year.

So Governor Romney may dance around his positions, but if you want to be president you owe the American people the truth.

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Chris Matthews on President Obama’s debate performance

I agree with Chris Matthews here.  Last night was President Obama’s opportunity to begin the end of the campaign.  Instead, he gave Romney a chance to get his footing before Election Day.

I understand that the President was going for “look Presidential, cool, and calm” but it came off “lackluster.”

This morning on MSNBC, David Axelrod – adviser to President Obama said:
“I understand there was a hunger for us to attack Romney more personally than the president did last night,” he allowed. “The president was talking to the American people…treating the American people like adults.”

Axelrod said the president would “review” his performance and “if he wants to make some changes in the next debate he will do so.”

I don’t think this will affect the election at this point as there are so few undecideds, and Obama has solid margins in important swing states like Ohio.

But he can’t afford another one of these.

I break into a cold sweat when I even start to think of a Romney administration.