Polls, Polls, And More Polls

I’m not one to take polls – even high quality, well-established polls – as gospel when it comes to predicting the result of political races.

But I do think they can be interesting in terms of which way a race might be leaning. Here’s some recent polling in high interest races.

2026 Michigan US Senate
Sep 10 – 14, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed 48%
Mike Rogers 45%

The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government
803 LV

View Poll

— Political Poll Bot (@pollbot.bsky.social) September 17, 2026 at 8:01 AM

• A Washington Post-Schar School poll finds Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holds a narrow 3-point edge over Republican Mike Rogers (48%-45%) in Michigan’s nationally watched Senate race.

• Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Roy Cooper (a two-term governor) leads Republican nominee Michael Whatley 46% to 39% among likely North Carolina voters, according to a new poll from the ECU Center for Survey Research. Whatley has never won a statewide race.

• In the race for Texas governor, recent polling of likely voters by Siena Polling shows Democratic State Rep. Gina Hinojosa leads the incumbent Republican, Governor Greg Abbott, by four points, 49-45%, after trailing Abbott by a single point in July.

That same poll found Democratic State Rep. James Talarico has extended his lead over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate to six points, 49-43%.

• VoteHub predicts Democrats have a whopping 83% chance of gaining control of the House of Representatives. Not a “surprise” as the party out of the White House typically does well in midterm elections, but that’s a pretty staggering number.

https://t.co/E514PVSgtE

— VoteHub (@VoteHub) September 17, 2026