Tag: polls

Politico reports that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump got a solid bounce out of his convention:

Donald Trump got a bounce from the Republican National Convention, jumping out in front of Hillary Clinton in a new CNN/ORC International poll released Monday, conducted in the days following the party gathering.

Trump leads Clinton 48 percent to 45 percent in a two-way matchup, compared with the presumptive Democratic nominee’s seven-point advantage (49 percent to 42 percent) in the CNN/ORC poll conducted the previous week.

In a four-way matchup with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump’s advantage actually increases to 5 points—44 percent to 39 percent, while Johnson earned 9 percent and Stein 3 percent.

The previous four-way survey found Clinton with a five-point lead over Trump, 42 percent to 37 percent, while Johnson had 13 percent and Stein 5 percent.

Republicans quietly panicking in Washington, and this is why.

Hillary leads by an average of 6 points in the Real Clear Politics poll average.

Check that red line – Donald Trump hasn’t led in any real poll in over a month.

Sorry, kids, Drudge isn’t a scientific poll, it’s a popularity contest.

A new CBS News poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by six points – 43% to 37%.

When former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, is factored in Hillary received 39% support, while Trump drew 32% and Johnson 11%.

Via Bloomberg:

A new Bloomberg Politics national poll shows Clinton leading Trump 49 percent to 37 percent among likely voters in November’s election, with 55 percent of those polled saying they could never vote for the real-estate developer and TV personality.

Most national polls in late May and early June showed a closer race, but they were taken before criticism intensified of Trump’s charge that a U.S. judge overseeing fraud cases against Trump University is biased because of the judge’s Mexican heritage. Fifty-five percent of likely voters in the new poll said they were very bothered by those comments.

“Clinton has a number of advantages in this poll, in addition to her lead,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey. “Her supporters are more enthusiastic than Trump’s and more voters overall see her becoming a more appealing candidate than say that for Trump.”

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democratic presidential contender Hillary Clinton with a 12 point lead over Republican Donald Trump.

Among likely voters, 46% said they supported Clinton, while 35% said they supported Trump according to the survey of 1,421 people conducted between May 30 and June 3.

Last month, the same poll indicated Trump had briefly tied the former Secretary of State in support among likely U.S. voters.

 

Democrats had their world rocked a bit this morning as the latest Quinnipiac University poll showed tight races between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and brash businessman Donald Trump in three all-important swing states – Pennsylvania, Ohio and Floridia.

Via Politico:

Buckle up for the next six months: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are effectively tied in the swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday. Split along lines of gender, race and age, the presumptive Republican nominee and the likely Democratic nominee appear poised for tight battles in those states, though Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders performs better against Trump than Clinton does and is also seen more favorably by voters in all three states. No presidential candidate has won an election since 1960 without winning at least two of the three states.

At roughly the same point in 2012, President Barack Obama led Mitt Romney by single digits in Ohio and in Pennsylvania, while Romney led by 1 percentage point in Florida. (Obama ended up winning all three, all by single digits.) Four years earlier, eventual Democratic nominee Obama trailed Arizona Sen. John McCain by 1 point each in Florida and Ohio, but led by 9 points in Pennsylvania. (Obama also won all three states in November, winning Florida and Ohio by single digits and Pennsylvania by 10 points.)

Real Clear Politics poll averages puts Clinton ahead of Trump by +4.3 in Florida, +3 in Ohio, and +7 in Pennsylvania.