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FiveThirtyEight: Democrats Slightly Favored To Win Senate
The poll and data crunchers at FiveThirtyEight most recent predictions for the November elections show a bit of good better news for Democrats in one chamber of Congress. Continue reading “FiveThirtyEight: Democrats Slightly Favored To Win Senate”
Trump Silenced By The Lamb As Democrat Wins Deep Red District In Pennsylvania
NBC News has declared Democrat Conor Lamb the apparent winner of Tuesday’s special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District.
With 99% of the votes counted Lamb leads Republican Rick Saccone by 641 votes.
CNBC is reporting the only outstanding votes are the approximately 200 absentee votes in Greene County and the provisional ballots that the district will count within the next seven days. But those don’t add up to 641 votes.
Lamb, a former Marine and federal prosecutor, declared victory shortly before 1AM as he was introduced at his election night party as “congressman-elect.”
Republicans are quietly wringing their hands in light of the fact that the deep red district (Trump won the 18th in 2016 by 20 point, Romney won in 2012 by 17) has swung 20 points to the Dems in less than two years.
On the day before the election, Republican Rick Saccone made an appearance with Donald Trump Jr. where he declared Democrats hate America and God.
Now, that doesn’t sound like an uplifting message, does it?
Trump backed Judge Roy Moore in Alabama in a special election for the U.S. Senate seat there and Moore lost to a Democrat. Trump backed Saccone in Pennsylvania, and Saccone lost.
See a pattern there?
Donald Trump has tweeted four times this morning. Nothing about the race in Pennsylvania.
#SilencedByTheLamb
BREAKING: All absentee ballots counted — Democrat Conor Lamb leads a Pennsylvania special House election by 627 votes. https://t.co/3ACB7WzUMm— Vaughn Sterling (@vplus) March 14, 2018
WATCH: @ConorLambPA the apparent winner in last night’s special election in Pennsylvania, says he won because he “didn’t take a single vote for granted.” pic.twitter.com/qYOSEFk3Tq— MSNBC (@MSNBC) March 14, 2018
The people of Pennsylvania’s 18th district showed up yesterday. They demonstrated that they want to be represented by someone who stands up for working people with actions, not just words. Who has heart. They found that in @ConorLambPA. He will represent them well.— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) March 14, 2018
Conor Lamb won 172 precincts won by Trump in ‘16.Rick Saccone won zero precincts won by Clinton in ‘16. https://t.co/E1qNR3383Y
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) March 14, 2018
.@foxandfriends hosts dismiss @ConorLambPA‘s victory because “he’s cute” and “cuteness counts.” pic.twitter.com/18wkXTVyQR— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) March 14, 2018
Republicans Privately Worried About Losing House Majority In 2018 Midterms
There could be serious bad news for Donald Trump come this November.
Republicans are apparently sharing in private that even they believe Democrats could retake the majority in the House of Representatives in this year’s mid-term elections.
A change of power in the House would require a flip of 24 seats from GOP to Democrat. In the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton won 23 of the districts that currently have Republican congressmen.
Additionally, over 30 GOP congressmen have announced they will not be running for reelection leaving those races without incumbents.
The average loss for a president’s party during midterm elections is about 32 seats, and folks are talking about possible 40+ losses for the Republicans.
With control of the House, Democrats gain not only control of the chamber for legislative purposes, but subpoena power and the ability to pass articles of impeachment.
#DonaldYouInDangerGirl
Data Looks Good For A Democratic Wave In 2018 Mid-Term Elections
MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki looks at three different data points that indicate the could very well be a Democratic wave in the 2018 mid-term elections.