The Hill reports former Vice President Joe Biden leads the posse of Democratic presidential contenders by double-digits in the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll. Biden garnered 32 percent support with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) coming in second with half that – 16 percent. Those results show a slight decline for both men since the last survey by the polling outfit. However, the new data shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) getting 13 percent support, a 5-point jump since the last Harvard CAPS/Harris poll was conducted in July after the last set of debates. Warren is the only candidate to show a notable increase in support. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) pegged fourth place with 7 percent support; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) tied for fifth place with 4 percent support. I realize we’re 14 months from the general election, but the first Democratic test comes in Iowa in January.
Warren & Buttigieg Surge in New South Carolina Poll
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| Sen. Elizabeth Warren (L), former VP Joe Biden (C), Mayor Pete Buttigieg (R) |
A new Post and Courier/Change Research Poll of likely Democratic primary voters released Sunday shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a commanding 20 point lead in South Carolina over his competitors, but Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren seem to be surging.
Biden’s support stands at 37% of likely Palmetto state voters, while Warren snatched up the number two slot with 17 percent. Mayor Pete is in the bronze position with 11 percent.
Sens. Kamala Harris (D-CA) and Bernie Sanders (I-VT) tied at 9 percent.
The South Carolina primary, which follows the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, is the first real show of where Black voters are leaning.
While Sanders had some struggle with South Carolina in 2016, some pundits say Buttigieg could have a similar issue connecting with African-American voters. But it appears his team has heard those issues and is working to address his outreach to that voting block.
New @postandcourier poll of South Carolina: 2020 DemocratsBiden 37%
Warren 17%
Buttigieg 11%
Harris 9%
Sanders 9%
Booker 5%
O’Rourke 4%
Yang 3%
de Blasio 1%
Gabbard 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Williamson 1%margin of error: +/- 3.2%https://t.co/H00JmTuYLT
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) June 16, 2019
Trump’s Own Polling Shows Him Trailing Joe Biden In Critical Swing States
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| Donald Trump |
ABC News has obtained data from Donald Trump’s own internal campaign polling that shows him trailing former Vice President Joe Biden in critical battleground states.
According to the numbers:
Biden leads Trump by 16 points in Pennsylvania, 10 points in Wisconsin, and 7 points in Florida.
In deep red state Texas, Trump leads Biden but by only 2 points.
Until Trump’s narrow wins in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the two states had voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for decades. Trump cannot afford to lose either of those states as well as Florida.
Earlier this week, Trump denied that such polling exists.
The Fake News has never been more dishonest than it is today. Thank goodness we can fight back on Social Media. Their new weapon of choice is Fake Polling, sometimes referred to as Suppression Polls (they suppress the numbers). Had it in 2016, but this is worse…..— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2019
…..The Fake (Corrupt) News Media said they had a leak into polling done by my campaign which, by the way and despite the phony and never ending Witch Hunt, are the best numbers WE have ever had. They reported Fake numbers that they made up & don’t even exist. WE WILL WIN AGAIN!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2019
ABC News reports it did not obtain any data on early matchups against other candidates.
The New York Times was first to report the existence of the internal polls.
The Trump campaign told ABC News the data is real but pushed back saying the numbers were old. The campaign apparently claimed that since that polling they’ve seen “huge swings” in Trump’s favor.
In related news, a new poll by EPIC-MRA of Lansing out today shows Biden leading Trump by 11 points 52%-41%.
Michigan was another traditionally blue state that went for Trump in 2016, but by less than 1 percentage point.
Poll: Presidential Voters Say Age More Disqualifying Than Being Gay
A new a Reuters/Ipsos poll may be good news for Mayor Pete Buttigieg as the survey shows age may be a more disqualifying factor for presidential candidates than sexual orientation.
Via Reuters:
Overall, the poll found that 48% of adults in the United States said they were “much” or “somewhat” less likely to support someone for the White House if the person was older than 70, while 34% were less likely to vote for someone who is gay.
And 12% said they were more likely to vote for a gay candidate, compared with 11% who said they were more likely to support a candidate who is over 70.
The current Democratic field of candidates running for the 2020 presidential nomination includes two septuagenarians – former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
The poll also showed that minorities were more likely to be supportive of a gay candidate than whites, and millennials were more supportive than Baby Boomers. Additionally, urban dwellers were more supportive than those living in rural areas.
Podcast: Taylor Swift, Joe Biden, Homophobes Of The South & Pride Month Begins
In this week’s podcast:
• An Alabama mayor catches heat for calling for ‘killing out’ the gays
• A Tennessee prosecutor says he doesn’t prosecute domestic violence among same-sex couples because ‘it’s not really marriage’
• Taylor Swift calls for passing The Equality Act, which Joe Biden says he would make a top priority as president
• And YouTube Originals produced a new documentary exploring LGBTQ Pride across the country, ‘State of Pride’
All that and more in this episode of The Randy Report
Click here to sign Taylor Swift’s petition in support of The Equality Act: www.change.org/p/support-the-equality-act
Joe Biden: Passing The Equality Act Will Be Top Priority As President
Speaking at the Human Rights Campaign Dinner in Columbus, Ohio, former Vice President Joe Biden promised to make LGBTQ equality a priority.
In a wide-ranging speech, the 2020 presidential candidate called out the Trump administration as a “disaster for human rights,” pointing out many of its ongoing attacks on the rights and protections of LGBTQ Americans.
Biden also denounced current vice current Vice President Mike Pence for using religious freedom as a license to discriminate against LGBTQ folks.
“Just like with racial justice and women’s rights, we are seeing pushback against all the progress we’ve made toward equality,” said Biden as he discussed protections for transgender Americans. “It’s wrong and it is immoral what they’re doing.”
Biden announced during the half hour speech that signing the Equality Act would be his top legislative priority. “It will be the first thing I ask to be done,” Biden said.
In a lighthearted moment, Biden recalled announcing his support for marriage equality in 2012 before President Obama had done so.
Biden remembered many political pundits thinking, “I had just committed this gigantic blunder.” He also shared that he’d told the president if asked about same-sex marriage, “I was not going to be quiet.”
It’s a great speech – well worth the watching.
In advance of his HRC speech, Biden tweeted out his support for Pride Month:
Pride is about standing up to the voices of injustice and discrimination and declaring that everyone has the right to live proud, open, and free. It’s about love. We join the LGBTQ community in celebration and remember the fight is not over. We march on. Happy #PrideMonth— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) June 1, 2019
Poll: Joe Biden Leads Dem Hopefuls By 19+
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| Sen. Bernie Sanders (L), former VP Joe Biden (C) and Sen. Kamala Harris (R) |
News Round-Up: April 26, 2019
Some news items you might have missed: • Anti-gay President Jair Bolsonaro told reporters this week regarding his country’s travel economy: “If you want to come here and have sex with a woman, go for your life. But we can’t let this place become known as a gay tourism paradise. Brazil can’t be a country of the gay world, of gay tourism. We have families.” Continue reading “News Round-Up: April 26, 2019”
Joe Biden Officially Jumps Into The 2020 Presidential Race
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| Former Vice President Joe Biden |
Former Vice President Joe Biden officially jumped into the 2020 presidential race this morning.
In an announcement video, Biden focused primarily on the hideous white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia where a woman lost her life, and Donald Trump declared that there were “fine people” on both sides.
“With those words, the President of the United States assigned a moral equivalence between those spreading hate and those with the courage to stand against it,” said Biden. “And in that moment, I knew the threat to this nation was unlike any I had ever seen in my lifetime.”
The video was accompanied with this message: “It’s time for respected leadership on the world stage—and dignified leadership at home. It’s time for equal opportunity, equal rights, and equal justice. It’s time for an economy that rewards those who actually do the work. It’s time for a president who will stand up for all of us.”
Even though he’s just now officially entered the race, his entry has been anticipated and he’s instantly the frontrunner.
It is VERY early, but RealClearPolitics’ average of recent polls shows him leading the Democratic contenders by an average of 6.3 points.
And an average of hypothetical matchups against Donald Trump indicate that (today) he would thump Trump by 7.8 points.
By comparison, an average of hypotheticals pitting Sen. Bernie Sanders against Trump shows Sanders coming out on top by only 2.7 points.
I’m totally good with Joe Biden as our next president. Experience, dignity and respect for others. Eight years as Vice President and 36 years in the U.S. Senate.
He came out for marriage equality before Barack Obama did. And he’s been an outspoken advocate for transgender soldiers serving in the U.S. military.
Folks will point to earlier positions in the 80s or 90s, but people do evolve as society evolves.
Donald Trump used to speak in coherent sentences, and look at what he’s ‘evolved’ into.
People will say Joe is an “old white guy.” Age doesn’t bother me as long as folks are healthy.
I would enthusiastically vote for Biden. That said, I’ll also be happy to vote for Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Kamala Harris, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders or former Rep. Beto O’Rourke if they clinch the Democratic nomination.
Biden quickly racked up three endorsements from Sens. Chris Coons (D-Delaware), Bob Casey (D-Penn) and Doug Jones (D-Alabama).
I am proud to endorse my friend, Joe Biden, for President https://t.co/ZWTlwJaQ59— Bob Casey Jr. (@Bob_Casey) April 25, 2019
The quality that makes Joe stand out is his ability to bring people together to find common ground while standing up for what he believes is right. We need to listen to each other & get things done for working people. Joe can, and will, do that. That’s why I support Joe Biden. https://t.co/vxnLQu0XDZ— Doug Jones (@DougJones) April 25, 2019
Biden will attend a fundraiser in Philadelphia later today, and he’s scheduled for an appearance on ABC’s The View for his first post-announcement television interview on Friday.
On Monday, he will hold his first official event in Pittsburgh, followed by a swing through early voting states Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.
Predictably, Donald Trump mocked the announcement via Twitter:
Welcome to the race Sleepy Joe. I only hope you have the intelligence, long in doubt, to wage a successful primary campaign. It will be nasty – you will be dealing with people who truly have some very sick & demented ideas. But if you make it, I will see you at the Starting Gate!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 25, 2019
Joe Biden To Announce Presidential Campaign Thursday Morning
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| Former Vice President Joe Biden |
Former Vice President Joe Biden will announce his long-expected presidential campaign for the 2020 election on Thursday morning, according to CNN.
Axios reports that he’ll open his campaign with a “climate of the nation” message that takes on President Trump but doesn’t directly attack any of the other 2020 Democrats.
JUST IN: Former Vice President Joe Biden will announce the launch of his presidential campaign on Thursday with an online video, a source familiar with the plans confirms to CNN https://t.co/QRkrJALmQA pic.twitter.com/7PfkvOfOpV— CNN (@CNN) April 23, 2019