Hillary Clinton On Donald Trump’s Tax Returns: “Why Doesn’t He Want To Release Them?”

We were all waiting for this.

Actually, I’m glad to see Hillary’s team pouncing on things quickly as they come up. It’s the way the game is played now.

As Hillary notes in the video, she’s got the past 8 years of her income taxes posted on her website right now.

Pony up, Trumpster.

#ImWithHer

NPR: HIllary Clinton Starts General Election With Strong Lead In Electoral College

From NPR’s Domenico Montanaro:

Hillary Clinton would have a significant electoral advantage over Donald Trump in the general election, based on an NPR analysis.

The Democratic former secretary of state would start out with already exactly enough electoral votes to win the presidency, 270-191, based on states considered safe, likely and to lean toward either candidate. The ratings, which will be updated at least monthly until Election Day, are based on fundamentals — historical trends and demographics, plus reporting and polling (both public and private).

Quinnipiac Poll Shows Tight Presidential Race In Three Swing States

Democrats had their world rocked a bit this morning as the latest Quinnipiac University poll showed tight races between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and brash businessman Donald Trump in three all-important swing states – Pennsylvania, Ohio and Floridia.

Via Politico:

Buckle up for the next six months: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are effectively tied in the swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday. Split along lines of gender, race and age, the presumptive Republican nominee and the likely Democratic nominee appear poised for tight battles in those states, though Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders performs better against Trump than Clinton does and is also seen more favorably by voters in all three states. No presidential candidate has won an election since 1960 without winning at least two of the three states.

At roughly the same point in 2012, President Barack Obama led Mitt Romney by single digits in Ohio and in Pennsylvania, while Romney led by 1 percentage point in Florida. (Obama ended up winning all three, all by single digits.) Four years earlier, eventual Democratic nominee Obama trailed Arizona Sen. John McCain by 1 point each in Florida and Ohio, but led by 9 points in Pennsylvania. (Obama also won all three states in November, winning Florida and Ohio by single digits and Pennsylvania by 10 points.)

Real Clear Politics poll averages puts Clinton ahead of Trump by +4.3 in Florida, +3 in Ohio, and +7 in Pennsylvania.

Battleground Maps Show Trump Starts General Election With Significant Challenge

NBC News is out with their first electoral college projection map for the 2016 presidential race, and it shows Donald Trump and the Republicans begin with a much steeper, uphill climb than Hillary Clinton and the Democrats.

From NBC News:

That map gives Clinton and the Democrats a 253-190 edge in electoral votes, with 95 in the tossup column.

And here’s why Dems have the advantage: They surpass the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency by just winning one of Florida or Ohio.

Or a combination of Colorado and Virginia.

One other thing: Our Tossup designations are very conservative; it’s where we think things *could* be later this summer. But right now, there are more polls showing Clinton ahead in these states than ones with Trump leading.

The Washington Post posits a similar situation, albeit from a different angle.

Were Hillary to win the 19 states (and D.C.) that every Dem has won since 1992, she gets to 242 electoral votes. If she wins Florida’s 29 electoral votes – Boom! She reaches 271 and the presidency. Clinton currently leads Trump by 13 in Florida according to a recent poll.

Additionally, Hillary currently leads in the ten most likely “swing” states.

However you slice it, the Trumpster begins with a tough map to overcome.

For the record, here’s how states have gone in the last six presidential elections (click to enlarge).

Donald Trump & Bernie Sanders Win Indiana Primaries, Cruz Drops Out

Republican White House hopeful Donald Trump cruised to an easy victory in the GOP Indiana primary last night, and in doing so saw his last real competitor, Sen. Ted Cruz, hit the skids and drop out of the race.

Sen. Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, but that outcome does little to change the math in the Democratic race due to Clinton’s 280-285 delegate lead. Sanders would have to win 65% of all the remaining delegates to close that gap. And so far, nothing indicates a shift that seismic in the Dem race.

With Clinton and Trump looking more and more like the presumptive nominees for the presidential race, CNN reports Clinton leads 54% to 41%, a 13-point edge over the New York businessman, her largest lead since last July.

Clinton is also more trusted than Trump on many issues voters rank as critically important.

Super-Statistician Nate Silver Predicts Crushing Win By Hillary Clinton

Super-stats guy Nate Silver tweeted out this prediction of the general election (if the voting were held today) predicting a crushing defeat for Donald Trump.

You need 270 electoral votes to win the White House.

Nate Silver predicted 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election.

In 2012, Silver predicted all 50 states in the presidential election.

I’m not nearly the genius Silver is but I’m not so bullish on Georgia and North Carolina.

That being said, Hillary would still win big even without those two states. I do think she will win handily.

We shall see how this all plays out…

News Round-Up: April 29, 2016

Some news stories you may have missed:

• Missouri lawmakers vote down anti-LGBT “License to discriminate” bill with 6-6 vote.

• Another day, another lost convention for North Carolina due to anti-LGBT hate law as the American Institute of Architects takes their $1 million in economic impact elsewhere.

• Eighty-six percent of political reporters believe Hillary Clinton will win the presidency.

• Although a million haters have signed a petition boycotting Target over it’s trans-inclusive bathroom policy, the super-store is standing strong it’s position.

• Bernie Sanders’ wife, Jane Sanders, wishes the FBI would speed up it’s investigation of Hillary Clinton’s emails.

• We all have our inspirations, and for The Randy Report that would be the fab Joe.My.God. which celebrates 12 years of blogging genius for the LGBT community. #MoreWine!