Tag: Bernie Sanders

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New Poll Shows Hillary Clinton & Bernie Sanders Both Would Beat Donald Trump In General Election

The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows both Democratic contenders for president, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, would beat GOP front-runner Donald Trump in hypothetical head to head match ups.

Clinton clocks The Donald by 13 points (51%-38%), and Sanders does even better besting Trump by 18 points (55%-38%).

Ted Cruz pulls the race tighter but Clinton still would win today by 2 points (47%-45%).

In fact, it’s Sen. Marco Rubio who has the strongest showing in a head-to-head against Clinton – a tie at 46%-46%.

But with talk of Rubio’s campaign on life support, I’m not seeing that scenario happen.

Also from the poll:

• 61% of Americans think Trump is “harmful” to the Republican party

• 55% of Americans disapprove of Senate Republican’s plan to block the nomination of a replacement for recently deceased Antonin Scalia.

• If the GOP candidates were in a two man race, Trump would lose in every scenario:

Trump – 40%
Cruz – 57%

Trump – 43%
Rubio – 56%

Trump – 40%
Kasich – 57%

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Gallup Poll: Hillary Clinton’s Net Favorable Approval Surpasses Bernie Sanders

Gallup Polling reports Hillary Clinton's Net Favorable Approval Rating has surpassed Sen. Bernie Sanders by 11 points

Good news for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton as Gallup reports her Favorable score has not only surged in just the past few weeks, but surpassed her opponent, Sen. Bernie Sanders by 11 points.

Clinton’s net favorable score stands at +55 for the week of Feb. 18-24, 2016, a 10-percentage-point increase from her low point recorded over Jan. 27-Feb.10. This latter time period overlapped with her landslide loss to Sanders in the New Hampshire primary.

Sanders’ net favorable over the past week, by contrast, stands at +44, well below Clinton’s score and a steep fall from the +57 he boasted in late January/early February.

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New CNN/ORC Poll Shows Both Democratic Candidates Beat Donald Trump

New polling from CNN/ORC shows both Democratic candidates for president, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton & Sen. Bernie Sanders, would beat current Republican front-runner Donald Trump.

From CNN:

In the scenario that appears most likely to emerge from the primary contests, Clinton tops Trump 52% to 44% among registered voters. That result has tilted in Clinton’s favor since the last CNN/ORC Poll on the match-up in January.

But when the former secretary of state faces off with either of the other two top Republicans, things are much tighter and roughly the same as they were in January. Clinton trails against Rubio, with 50% choosing the Florida senator compared to 47% for Clinton, identical to the results in January. Against Cruz, Clinton holds 48% to his 49%, a slight tightening from a 3-point race in January to a 1-point match-up now.

Sanders — who enjoys the most positive favorable rating of any presidential candidate in the field, according to the poll — tops all three Republicans by wide margins: 57% to 40% against Cruz, 55% to 43% against Trump, and 53% to 45% against Rubio. Sanders fares better than Clinton in each match-up among men, younger voters and independents.

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Democratic Candidates On CNN Townhall Tonight

CNN hosts a townhall discussion with both Democratic presidential nominees, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton & Sen. Bernie Sanders, tonight at 8pmET/5pmPT.

Personally, I like the townhall format more than a debate scenario. Less attacking each other and the questions come from the voters, which I find more interesting.

Early on some folks called for more debates than the original six announced. I wasn’t crazy about that idea as I think you get in six debates about all the interchange between candidates you need.  Of course, three more debates were eventually added to the schedule.

But in a townhall setting, real every day Americans get to directly ask the candidates what they care about.

#Better

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Bernie Sanders Gets Lots Of Assist From DNC But Doesn’t Return The Favor

Interesting essay over on Huffington Post about Sen. Bernie Sanders and his decision to run specifically on the Democratic ticket.

As the campaign progresses it is becoming clear he doesn’t have any interest in meeting what his responsibility would be as the Democratic nominee. In a presidential election year a big part of the nominees job is to help elect candidates down ticket; U.S. Senate, House of Representatives, Governors and state legislators. He would need to help them raise money and build a platform on which they can run. Appears he is so taken with his own rhetoric of ‘revolution’ he hasn’t thought about those down ticket candidates winning giving it even a chance in hell of happening.

As of today Hillary Clinton has raised twenty-seven million dollars to be distributed to state parties to assist their candidates and Sanders has raised one thousand dollars. The FEC is now questioning his campaign finances.

Sanders could have run as an independent as he has for his U.S. Senate seat, but instead he chose to sign up as Dem to get the financial resources. And yet, he hasn’t returned the favor to the DNC.

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New Poll Shows Hillary Clinton & Bernie Sanders In Dead Heat For Nevada Caucus

According to a new CNN/ORC poll, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders are in a virtual tie in Nevada only days before the state’s caucuses this Saturday.

Clinton received 48% of likely Democratic caucusgoers while Sanders clocked in at 47%.

It’s worth noting, however, that while the CNN/ORC Nevada Poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,006 adult residents of the state, the results among the 282 likely Democratic primary voters show a plus or minus 6 percentage points in terms of margin of error.

Also, the polling shows no breakdown of ethnicity other than Clinton leading Sanders with whites 46%-44%. If that’s true, and the trend of Clinton doing better with Latinos and African-Americans, you would think she would be further ahead.

The turnout in 2008 was only 8% for the state caucuses, which in the long run, hardly represents an entire state. Sad.

Jon Ralston, noted political reporter in Nevada, tweeted earlier today that without knowing how minorities factor into the polling it’s hard to get a good read of what’s going on in the Silver State.

On the Republican side, it looks to be a blowout for Donald Trump who gets 45% of likely Republican caucusgoers. Sen. Marco Rubio comes in 2nd at 19% and Sen. Ted Cruz a close third with 17%.

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Survey Shows Hillary Clinton Has Strongest Support Among Likely LGBT Voters

According to a survey of likely LGBT voters conducted by Community Marketing & Insights, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is seen as the presidential candidate who is most supportive of LGBT rights and equality.

Clinton received the support of 48% of those polled, while Sen. Bernie Sanders clocked in at 41%.

Among Republicans Donald Trump was the highest ranked but with a measly 2%. Gov. John Kasich and Sen. Marco Rubio got 1% each.

It’s interesting to note that in the 2012 presidential campaign LGBT voters comprised 5% of the total electorate. Of those, 77% voted for President Obama while 23% threw their support to GOP nominee Mitt Romney.

Five percent may not seem like a huge number, but consider this: 77% of 5 is about 4.8. In a tight race, four percentage points could be the difference between a Democrat picking the next few SCOTUS justices or a Republican.

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FiveThirtyEight Looks At The Terrain Going Forward For Clinton, Sanders

The polling/stats geniuses of FiveThirtyEight took a look at what the polls show in terms of upcoming primary challenges in the Democratic race for the presidential nomination.

As the competition moves into more diverse terrain, Sen. Bernie Sanders looks like he will need to up his game in terms of diversity.

From FiveThirtyEight:

Polling has indicated that Sanders trails among nonwhite voters by nearly 40 percentage points nationally. Although no reliable recent polling is available in Nevada, Clinton leads by 30 percentage points in both of our South Carolina forecasts. In the latest Marist College poll, she’s buoyed by a 74 percent to 17 percent lead among black voters. Sanders must cut into that margin if he wants to have any chance in South Carolina or anywhere in the South.

You could already see how Sanders might have problems in Nevada and South Carolina even as he was crushing Clinton in New Hampshire. Despite winning the state by more than 20 percentage points, the best Sanders could manage among registered Democrats was a tie. His large margin came from registered independents who voted in the Democratic primary. You must be a registered Democrat to vote in the Nevada caucuses, though you can register as one the day of the election. In 2008, 81 percent of Nevada caucus-goers self-identified as Democrats. Just 58 percent of New Hampshire voters on Tuesday thought of themselves as Democrats.