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New York Times Gives Hillary Clinton 92% Chance Of Winning White House
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| Image via the New York Times Upshot |
The New York Times’ Upshot gives Hillary Clinton a 92% chance of winning the White House.
Additionally, a Quinnipiac University poll of swing-states shows Clinton tied with Trump at 44% in Iowa, and trailing by just 1 point in Georgia at 43%.
To underscore those numbers – Hillary has never really dominated in Iowa and Trump was ahead there by 7 a month ago. And Georgia is such a ruby-red state you have to wonder what’s up that Hillary is within one point of Trump there.
Amazing.
All that said, I need all you shiny, happy people to get out and vote for my girl, Hillary Clinton.
Do not take winning for granted – GO VOTE!
Radio Show: Director/Actor Gerald McCullouch Chats On His Acclaimed Film DADDY
Had a great time interviewing director/actor Gerald McCullouch last night on my BlogTalkRadio show.
As I mention during the radio chat, having Gerald on the show is like Christmas for a me cause he’s just a great guest.
Gerald dropped by to chat on his new indie film, DADDY, and the upcoming BEAR CITY 3. Continue reading “Radio Show: Director/Actor Gerald McCullouch Chats On His Acclaimed Film DADDY”
No, Donald Trump, There’s No Voter Fraud In Texas
Republican Donald Trump announced on Thursday that he’s hearing about rampant voter fraud at the polls in Texas.
In the end, it turns out one voter didn’t know how to review their own ballot.
A lot of call-ins about vote flipping at the voting booths in Texas. People are not happy. BIG lines. What is going on?— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 27, 2016
Even the Tarrant County Republican chairman didn’t buy into the Trumpster’s hyperbole.
From Politico:
According to Snopes, “Reports are not flooding in from across Texas about vote switching.”
“Although rumors of ‘vote switching’ in Texas are rampant, we found only one case in which a report was investigated, and it was found to be unsubstantiated,” the rumor researching website said.
The Republican presidential nominee is likely referring to an allegation from a woman who posted on Facebook this week that she voted for Republicans up and down the ballot, though the summary of her votes showed that the Hillary Clinton-Tim Kaine ticket was checked, too.
“I tried to go back and change and could not get it to work,” the woman, who voted in Texas, said. “I asked for help from one of the workers and she couldn’t get it to go back either. It took a second election person to get the machine to where I could correct the vote to a straight ticket.”
The woman urged voters to “double check your selections before you cast your vote!”
According to election officials, however, the problem was likely a “voter error,” not a sign of election rigging.
Tim O’Hare, chair of the Tarrant County Republican Party, told a local CBS affiliate that voters are inadvertently changing their votes by incorrectly turning the machine’s wheel to change the page.
“We don’t think there’s fraud inside the machine or software glitches,” he said.
Commercial Highlights Transgender Stress Using Public Bathrooms
This simple but effective deodorant commercial explains the stress most transgender women experience every time they use a public bathroom.
Kudos to Secret for getting this right.
Most conversations about “bathroom rights” center on innocent young girls encountering a trans woman in a bathroom and not knowing how they’ll respond.
This spot gives us a peek from the other side of the encounter.
Pennsylvania: Hillary Clinton Leads By +7
Democrat Hillary Clinton continues to hold a solid 7 point lead in the battleground state of Pennsylvania according to the latest Siena College poll, conducted for The New York Times’ “Upshot.”
The survey indicates Clinton ahead of Trump 46% – 39%.
Libertarian Gary Johnson is down in the single digits with 6%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein lags at 3%.
The poll was conducted Oct. 23-25.
New AP/GfK Polls Shows Hillary Clinton With 14 Point Lead
The Associated Press is reporting results of a new national Associated Press-GfK poll giving Democrat Hillary Clinton a huge lead over Republican Donald Trump.
Overall, the poll shows Clinton leading Trump nationally by a staggering 14 percentage points among likely voters, 51-37. While that is one of her largest margins among recent national surveys, most show the former secretary of state with a substantial national lead over the billionaire businessman.
The AP-GfK poll finds that Clinton has secured the support of 90 percent of likely Democratic voters, and also has the backing of 15 percent of more moderate Republicans. Just 79 percent of all Republicans surveyed say they are voting for their party’s nominee.
With voting already underway in 37 states, Trump’s opportunities to overtake Clinton are quickly evaporating — and voters appear to know it. The AP-GfK poll found that 74 percent of likely voters believe Clinton will win, up from 63 percent in September.
To be fair and to show you how widely these things can swing, a new Fox News poll shows Clinton only THREE points ahead of Trump – 44% / 41% respectively.
So, it’s wise to take all these polls with a grain of salt. I suggest looking at an averaging of good polls like you get at FiveThirtyEight.
USA Today/Suffolk University Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Trump By 9 Points
The latest USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton has a 9 point lead over her Republican challenger, Donald Trump.
Here’s the numbers breakdown: Clinton 47%, Trump 38%, Gary Johnson 4% and Jill Stein 2%.
USA Today notes that, as historically happens, the third party support has dropped sharply as Election Day grows closer.
RealClearPolitics currently shows Clinton with an average 5 point lead over Trump.
FiveThirtyEight shows Clinton currently has an 84% chance of winning the White House.
Megyn Kelly Slaps Back At Newt Gingrich
In a raucous back and forth between Fox News’ Megyn Kelly and serial adulterer Newt Gingrich last night, Gingrich demanded that Kelly call Bill Clinton a “sexual predator” and informed her she was “fascinated with sex.”
From NPR:
“You are fascinated with sex, and you don’t care about public policy,” Gingrich said.
Kelly replied, “Me, really?”
Gingrich: “That’s what I get out of watching you tonight.”
Kelly: “You know what, Mr. Speaker? I’m not fascinated by sex, but I am fascinated by the protection of women and understanding what we’re getting in the oval office … “
Gingrich then brought up former President Bill Clinton, saying he will be “back in the East Wing [of the White House], because, after all, you are worried about sexual predators,” an apparent reference to Clinton’s affair with intern Monica Lewinsky, which led to impeachment charges against Clinton while Gingrich was speaker.
Gingrich challenged Kelly. “I just want to hear you use the words ‘Bill Clinton, sexual predator.’ I dare you. Say ‘Bill Clinton, sexual predator.’ “
Kelly responded that her program had covered allegations against the former president, before adding that “he’s not on the ticket.”
Kelly then noted that the program was running out of time. “We’re going to have to leave it at that, and you can take your anger issues and spend some time working on them, Mr. Speaker. Thanks for being here.”
Watch the heated exchange below:
I disagree with @megynkelly most of the time. But man, respect where it’s due for anyone who can drag a douche like Newt Gingrich this hard. pic.twitter.com/MJHjJNbifO— nasty shauna (@goldengateblond) October 26, 2016
Nevada: Democrats Have 24K Lead After 4 Days Of Early Voting
After four days of early voting in Nevada, the Secretary of State website shows Democrats opening a wide lead in voting.
When you combine in-person voting with returned mail-in ballots, the Democrats come in with 104,305 statewide.
The Republicans are down by 24,585 ballots with 79,720 registered GOPers getting their votes in so far.